Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converge on a daily maximum of 15–17°C in Warsaw on September 22, with 16°C as the most frequent outcome amid northwesterly flow, scattered showers, and limited daytime heating. Persistent westerly winds advect cooler maritime air while cloud cover and light precipitation suppress temperatures below seasonal norms near 18°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighting model consensus and historical September variability. Resolution hinges on official Institute of Meteorology observations of the highest hourly reading; final model updates and any rapid clearing could shift probabilities between the closely matched 16°C and 17°C outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
22 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 42%
17°C 33%
15°C 18%
18°C 9%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
42%
17°C
33%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
16°C 42%
17°C 33%
15°C 18%
18°C 9%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
13°C
$80 वॉल्यूम
3%
14°C
$14 वॉल्यूम
4%
15°C
$255 वॉल्यूम
18%
16°C
$94 वॉल्यूम
42%
17°C
$1,319 वॉल्यूम
33%
18°C
$101 वॉल्यूम
9%
19°C
$95 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$111 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
$151 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converge on a daily maximum of 15–17°C in Warsaw on September 22, with 16°C as the most frequent outcome amid northwesterly flow, scattered showers, and limited daytime heating. Persistent westerly winds advect cooler maritime air while cloud cover and light precipitation suppress temperatures below seasonal norms near 18°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighting model consensus and historical September variability. Resolution hinges on official Institute of Meteorology observations of the highest hourly reading; final model updates and any rapid clearing could shift probabilities between the closely matched 16°C and 17°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,220समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converge on a daily maximum of 15–17°C in Warsaw on September 22, with 16°C as the most frequent outcome amid northwesterly flow, scattered showers, and limited daytime heating. Persistent westerly winds advect cooler maritime air while cloud cover and light precipitation suppress temperatures below seasonal norms near 18°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighting model consensus and historical September variability. Resolution hinges on official Institute of Meteorology observations of the highest hourly reading; final model updates and any rapid clearing could shift probabilities between the closely matched 16°C and 17°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,220समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converge on a daily maximum of 15–17°C in Warsaw on September 22, with 16°C as the most frequent outcome amid northwesterly flow, scattered showers, and limited daytime heating. Persistent westerly winds advect cooler maritime air while cloud cover and light precipitation suppress temperatures below seasonal norms near 18°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighting model consensus and historical September variability. Resolution hinges on official Institute of Meteorology observations of the highest hourly reading; final model updates and any rapid clearing could shift probabilities between the closely matched 16°C and 17°C outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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