Recent MetService forecasts and model guidance indicate a high of 11°C for Wellington on August 18 under a showery south to southwest flow, with overnight lows near 6°C and gusty southerlies limiting daytime warming. This aligns with August climatology (typical maxima ~12°C) and recent polar-air intrusions that produced highs of 9–11°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns near-average temperatures the highest probability for the central North Island region, while persistent southerly advection and cloud cover suppress any significant rebound toward 13°C or above. Trader consensus at 62% for 11°C and 28.5% for 12°C therefore reflects the narrow forecast envelope, with only modest upside risk if the flow weakens or ridging develops ahead of the next front.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
11°C 63%
12°C 29%
10°C 9%
13°C 3%
$37,352 वॉल्यूम
$37,352 वॉल्यूम
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
9%
11°C
63%
12°C
29%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 63%
12°C 29%
10°C 9%
13°C 3%
$37,352 वॉल्यूम
$37,352 वॉल्यूम
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
9%
11°C
63%
12°C
29%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts and model guidance indicate a high of 11°C for Wellington on August 18 under a showery south to southwest flow, with overnight lows near 6°C and gusty southerlies limiting daytime warming. This aligns with August climatology (typical maxima ~12°C) and recent polar-air intrusions that produced highs of 9–11°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns near-average temperatures the highest probability for the central North Island region, while persistent southerly advection and cloud cover suppress any significant rebound toward 13°C or above. Trader consensus at 62% for 11°C and 28.5% for 12°C therefore reflects the narrow forecast envelope, with only modest upside risk if the flow weakens or ridging develops ahead of the next front.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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