**Market-implied odds for the highest temperature in Wellington on September 18 heavily favor 15°C (64.5%), followed by 14°C (16.5%) and 16°C (15.5%).** These probabilities reflect the latest official forecasts from MetService New Zealand, which project a daytime maximum of 15°C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light showers possible and moderate northerly winds shifting southerly. Springtime in the Southern Hemisphere brings transitional weather patterns to Wellington, where coastal location and exposure to the Roaring Forties produce frequent wind shifts and rapid temperature changes. Current model consensus, including ECMWF and local guidance, supports a mild day near or slightly above the September average high of roughly 13–14°C, with limited potential for stronger warming or cooling under the expected pressure setup. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 13–16°C in mid-September, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 14–16°C. Key resolution will depend on the official maximum from the primary Wellington station. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the 15°C outcome as the dominant trader consensus backed by real-money positioning ahead of tomorrow’s data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 65%
14°C 17%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
नया
$11,427 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,427 वॉल्यूम
18 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
17%
15°C
65%
16°C
16%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
15°C 65%
14°C 17%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
नया
$11,427 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,427 वॉल्यूम
18 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
$253 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$299 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$333 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$596 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$865 वॉल्यूम
3%
14°C
$1,675 वॉल्यूम
17%
15°C
$3,464 वॉल्यूम
65%
16°C
$2,315 वॉल्यूम
16%
17°C
$779 वॉल्यूम
2%
18°C
$568 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C या उससे अधिक
$279 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds for the highest temperature in Wellington on September 18 heavily favor 15°C (64.5%), followed by 14°C (16.5%) and 16°C (15.5%).** These probabilities reflect the latest official forecasts from MetService New Zealand, which project a daytime maximum of 15°C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light showers possible and moderate northerly winds shifting southerly.
Springtime in the Southern Hemisphere brings transitional weather patterns to Wellington, where coastal location and exposure to the Roaring Forties produce frequent wind shifts and rapid temperature changes. Current model consensus, including ECMWF and local guidance, supports a mild day near or slightly above the September average high of roughly 13–14°C, with limited potential for stronger warming or cooling under the expected pressure setup. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 13–16°C in mid-September, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 14–16°C.
Key resolution will depend on the official maximum from the primary Wellington station. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the 15°C outcome as the dominant trader consensus backed by real-money positioning ahead of tomorrow’s data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,427समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds for the highest temperature in Wellington on September 18 heavily favor 15°C (64.5%), followed by 14°C (16.5%) and 16°C (15.5%).** These probabilities reflect the latest official forecasts from MetService New Zealand, which project a daytime maximum of 15°C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light showers possible and moderate northerly winds shifting southerly.
Springtime in the Southern Hemisphere brings transitional weather patterns to Wellington, where coastal location and exposure to the Roaring Forties produce frequent wind shifts and rapid temperature changes. Current model consensus, including ECMWF and local guidance, supports a mild day near or slightly above the September average high of roughly 13–14°C, with limited potential for stronger warming or cooling under the expected pressure setup. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 13–16°C in mid-September, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 14–16°C.
Key resolution will depend on the official maximum from the primary Wellington station. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the 15°C outcome as the dominant trader consensus backed by real-money positioning ahead of tomorrow’s data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$11,427समाप्ति तिथि
18 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds for the highest temperature in Wellington on September 18 heavily favor 15°C (64.5%), followed by 14°C (16.5%) and 16°C (15.5%).** These probabilities reflect the latest official forecasts from MetService New Zealand, which project a daytime maximum of 15°C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light showers possible and moderate northerly winds shifting southerly. Springtime in the Southern Hemisphere brings transitional weather patterns to Wellington, where coastal location and exposure to the Roaring Forties produce frequent wind shifts and rapid temperature changes. Current model consensus, including ECMWF and local guidance, supports a mild day near or slightly above the September average high of roughly 13–14°C, with limited potential for stronger warming or cooling under the expected pressure setup. Recent observations show daytime highs fluctuating between 13–16°C in mid-September, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 14–16°C. Key resolution will depend on the official maximum from the primary Wellington station. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the 15°C outcome as the dominant trader consensus backed by real-money positioning ahead of tomorrow’s data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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