Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with nearly 99% of precincts counted, show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party capturing over 52% of the national party list vote against Fidesz-KDNP's approximately 39%, yielding a margin exceeding 12 percentage points and fueling trader consensus at 99.1% for Tisza 9%+. Record turnout above 78%—the highest in democratic history—propelled this landslide, corroborated by exit polls and independent aggregators, while Viktor Orbán's prompt concession underscored the outcome's clarity. Tisza's supermajority projection in the 199-seat National Assembly further solidifies positioning, though final certification by the National Election Office or rare recounts in contested areas could theoretically alter tallies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयातिस्ज़ा 9%+ 99.1%
तिस्ज़ा 6-9% <1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+ <1%
तीज़ा 3-6% <1%
$3,519,662 वॉल्यूम
$3,519,662 वॉल्यूम

तिस्ज़ा 9%+
99%

तिस्ज़ा 6-9%
<1%

तीज़ा 3-6%
<1%

तिस्ज़ा 0-3%
<1%

फिदेसज़-केडीएनपी 0-3%
<1%

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 3-6%
<1%

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 6-9%
<1%

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+
<1%

अन्य
<1%
तिस्ज़ा 9%+ 99.1%
तिस्ज़ा 6-9% <1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+ <1%
तीज़ा 3-6% <1%
$3,519,662 वॉल्यूम
$3,519,662 वॉल्यूम

तिस्ज़ा 9%+
99%

तिस्ज़ा 6-9%
<1%

तीज़ा 3-6%
<1%

तिस्ज़ा 0-3%
<1%

फिदेसज़-केडीएनपी 0-3%
<1%

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 3-6%
<1%

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 6-9%
<1%

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+
<1%

अन्य
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with nearly 99% of precincts counted, show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party capturing over 52% of the national party list vote against Fidesz-KDNP's approximately 39%, yielding a margin exceeding 12 percentage points and fueling trader consensus at 99.1% for Tisza 9%+. Record turnout above 78%—the highest in democratic history—propelled this landslide, corroborated by exit polls and independent aggregators, while Viktor Orbán's prompt concession underscored the outcome's clarity. Tisza's supermajority projection in the 199-seat National Assembly further solidifies positioning, though final certification by the National Election Office or rare recounts in contested areas could theoretically alter tallies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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