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हंगरी चुनाव: जीत का लोकप्रिय वोट मार्जिन

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हंगरी चुनाव: जीत का लोकप्रिय वोट मार्जिन

तिस्ज़ा 9%+ 99.1%

तिस्ज़ा 6-9% <1%

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+ <1%

तीज़ा 3-6% <1%

Polymarket

$3,519,482 वॉल्यूम

तिस्ज़ा 9%+ 99.1%

तिस्ज़ा 6-9% <1%

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+ <1%

तीज़ा 3-6% <1%

Polymarket

$3,519,482 वॉल्यूम

क्या तिस्ज़ा 2026 के हंगेरियाई संसदीय चुनाव में राष्ट्रीय सूची वोट 9% से अधिक से जीतेगा? icon

तिस्ज़ा 9%+

$946,604 वॉल्यूम

99%

क्या तिस्ज़ा 2026 के हंगेरियन संसदीय चुनाव में राष्ट्रीय सूची मत में 6-9% से जीतेंगे? icon

तिस्ज़ा 6-9%

$186,074 वॉल्यूम

1%

क्या तीज़ा 2026 के हंगेरियन संसदीय चुनाव में राष्ट्रीय सूची वोट में 3-6% से जीतेंगे? icon

तीज़ा 3-6%

$164,687 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या तिस्ज़ा 2026 हंगेरियन संसदीय चुनाव में राष्ट्रीय सूची मतदान 0-3% अंतर से जीतेंगे? icon

तिस्ज़ा 0-3%

$167,627 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या फिदेसज़-केडीएनपी 2026 के हंगेरियन संसदीय चुनाव में राष्ट्रीय सूची वोट 0-3% अंतर से जीतेंगे? icon

फिदेसज़-केडीएनपी 0-3%

$237,232 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 2026 हंगेरियन संसदीय चुनाव में राष्ट्रीय सूची वोट 3-6% से जीतेगा? icon

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 3-6%

$249,930 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 2026 के हंगेरियन संसदीय चुनाव में राष्ट्रीय सूची वोट 6-9% से जीतेंगे? icon

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 6-9%

$663,969 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 2026 हंगरी संसदीय चुनाव में राष्ट्रीय सूची वोट 9%+ अंतर से जीतेगा? icon

फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+

$789,015 वॉल्यूम

1%

क्या 2026 के हंगरी संसदीय चुनाव में कोई अन्य परिणाम होगा? icon

अन्य

$114,345 वॉल्यूम

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Election results from Hungary's April 12, 2026 parliamentary vote, with over 98% of precincts reporting, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party capturing 52-54% of the national list vote against Fidesz-KDNP's 38-40%, yielding a margin exceeding 12 points that traders overwhelmingly back at 99.1% for Tisza 9%+. Record turnout near 80% propelled Tisza's anti-corruption, pro-EU platform past Viktor Orbán's long-ruling alliance, prompting his swift concession and projections of a Tisza supermajority. Pre-election polls had signaled Tisza's widening lead amid economic discontent. While final overseas and mail ballots remain, substantial shifts favoring Fidesz appear improbable given uniform trends, cementing the commanding trader consensus.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.

For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.

If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.

Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
वॉल्यूम
$3,519,482
समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Election results from Hungary's April 12, 2026 parliamentary vote, with over 98% of precincts reporting, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party capturing 52-54% of the national list vote against Fidesz-KDNP's 38-40%, yielding a margin exceeding 12 points that traders overwhelmingly back at 99.1% for Tisza 9%+. Record turnout near 80% propelled Tisza's anti-corruption, pro-EU platform past Viktor Orbán's long-ruling alliance, prompting his swift concession and projections of a Tisza supermajority. Pre-election polls had signaled Tisza's widening lead amid economic discontent. While final overseas and mail ballots remain, substantial shifts favoring Fidesz appear improbable given uniform trends, cementing the commanding trader consensus.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.

For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.

If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.

Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
वॉल्यूम
$3,519,482
समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"हंगरी चुनाव: जीत का लोकप्रिय वोट मार्जिन" Polymarket पर 9 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, तिस्ज़ा 9%+ 99% (99¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद तिस्ज़ा 6-9% 0% पर है।

आज तक, "हंगरी चुनाव: जीत का लोकप्रिय वोट मार्जिन" ने कुल $3.5 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 5, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"हंगरी चुनाव: जीत का लोकप्रिय वोट मार्जिन" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 9 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"हंगरी चुनाव: जीत का लोकप्रिय वोट मार्जिन" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "तिस्ज़ा 9%+" 99% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "तिस्ज़ा 6-9%" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"हंगरी चुनाव: जीत का लोकप्रिय वोट मार्जिन" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।