Peter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with partial counts exceeding 90% showing approximately 52% support versus 39% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance—a popular vote margin over 13 points that traders price at 99.1% likelihood for Tisza exceeding 9%. Orbán's public concession of this "painful but clear" defeat, coupled with exit polls and projections confirming Tisza's two-thirds parliamentary majority, has locked in trader consensus amid diaspora tallies still favoring Fidesz but insufficient to narrow the gap. Final certification remains pending, though legal challenges or recounts pose minimal risk given the scale of the victory and absence of disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयातिस्ज़ा 9%+ 99.1%
तिस्ज़ा 6-9% <1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+ <1%
तीज़ा 3-6% <1%
$3,519,627 वॉल्यूम
$3,519,627 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
तिस्ज़ा 9%+
99%
तिस्ज़ा 6-9%
1%
तीज़ा 3-6%
<1%
तिस्ज़ा 0-3%
<1%
फिदेसज़-केडीएनपी 0-3%
<1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 3-6%
<1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 6-9%
<1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+
1%
अन्य
<1%
तिस्ज़ा 9%+ 99.1%
तिस्ज़ा 6-9% <1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+ <1%
तीज़ा 3-6% <1%
$3,519,627 वॉल्यूम
$3,519,627 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
तिस्ज़ा 9%+
$946,745 वॉल्यूम
99%
तिस्ज़ा 6-9%
$186,074 वॉल्यूम
1%
तीज़ा 3-6%
$164,687 वॉल्यूम
<1%
तिस्ज़ा 0-3%
$167,632 वॉल्यूम
<1%
फिदेसज़-केडीएनपी 0-3%
$237,232 वॉल्यूम
<1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 3-6%
$249,930 वॉल्यूम
<1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 6-9%
$663,969 वॉल्यूम
<1%
फिदेस्ज़-केडीएनपी 9%+
$789,015 वॉल्यूम
1%
अन्य
$114,345 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Peter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with partial counts exceeding 90% showing approximately 52% support versus 39% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance—a popular vote margin over 13 points that traders price at 99.1% likelihood for Tisza exceeding 9%. Orbán's public concession of this "painful but clear" defeat, coupled with exit polls and projections confirming Tisza's two-thirds parliamentary majority, has locked in trader consensus amid diaspora tallies still favoring Fidesz but insufficient to narrow the gap. Final certification remains pending, though legal challenges or recounts pose minimal risk given the scale of the victory and absence of disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,519,627समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Peter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with partial counts exceeding 90% showing approximately 52% support versus 39% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance—a popular vote margin over 13 points that traders price at 99.1% likelihood for Tisza exceeding 9%. Orbán's public concession of this "painful but clear" defeat, coupled with exit polls and projections confirming Tisza's two-thirds parliamentary majority, has locked in trader consensus amid diaspora tallies still favoring Fidesz but insufficient to narrow the gap. Final certification remains pending, though legal challenges or recounts pose minimal risk given the scale of the victory and absence of disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
वॉल्यूम
$3,519,627समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Peter Magyar's Tisza party secured a commanding lead in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with partial counts exceeding 90% showing approximately 52% support versus 39% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance—a popular vote margin over 13 points that traders price at 99.1% likelihood for Tisza exceeding 9%. Orbán's public concession of this "painful but clear" defeat, coupled with exit polls and projections confirming Tisza's two-thirds parliamentary majority, has locked in trader consensus amid diaspora tallies still favoring Fidesz but insufficient to narrow the gap. Final certification remains pending, though legal challenges or recounts pose minimal risk given the scale of the victory and absence of disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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