**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 1, 2026, reflects high uncertainty centered on mid-teens Celsius values, with market-implied probabilities clustered around 46–50% for outcomes from 10°C or below through 15°C and near-zero odds for 16°C or higher.** This positioning stems from ensemble forecast guidance showing overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions typical of early September high-pressure systems over central Anatolia. Multiple models converge on a minimum near 14–17°C at official stations such as Ankara Esenboğa, consistent with historical climatology (average September low ~14°C) but sensitive to small differences in wind speed, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing. Light northeasterly flow and low humidity favor efficient surface cooling after sunset, yet any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around 11–15°C captures genuine forecast spread and resolution criteria tied to the precise official minimum reading, while the sharp drop-off above 15°C indicates strong consensus against warmer nights given current synoptic stability. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations will refine these temperature thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 सितंबर को अंकारा में सबसे कम तापमान?
1 सितंबर को अंकारा में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
11°C 93%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
10°C या उससे नीचे
-
11°C
93%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C या अधिक
<1%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
11°C 93%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
10°C या उससे नीचे
$25 वॉल्यूम
-
11°C
$8 वॉल्यूम
93%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
100%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
100%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
100%
15°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$50 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$140 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C या अधिक
$210 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 1, 2026, reflects high uncertainty centered on mid-teens Celsius values, with market-implied probabilities clustered around 46–50% for outcomes from 10°C or below through 15°C and near-zero odds for 16°C or higher.**
This positioning stems from ensemble forecast guidance showing overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions typical of early September high-pressure systems over central Anatolia. Multiple models converge on a minimum near 14–17°C at official stations such as Ankara Esenboğa, consistent with historical climatology (average September low ~14°C) but sensitive to small differences in wind speed, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing. Light northeasterly flow and low humidity favor efficient surface cooling after sunset, yet any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop by 1–2°C.
The tight clustering of probabilities around 11–15°C captures genuine forecast spread and resolution criteria tied to the precise official minimum reading, while the sharp drop-off above 15°C indicates strong consensus against warmer nights given current synoptic stability. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations will refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$523समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 1, 2026, reflects high uncertainty centered on mid-teens Celsius values, with market-implied probabilities clustered around 46–50% for outcomes from 10°C or below through 15°C and near-zero odds for 16°C or higher.**
This positioning stems from ensemble forecast guidance showing overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions typical of early September high-pressure systems over central Anatolia. Multiple models converge on a minimum near 14–17°C at official stations such as Ankara Esenboğa, consistent with historical climatology (average September low ~14°C) but sensitive to small differences in wind speed, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing. Light northeasterly flow and low humidity favor efficient surface cooling after sunset, yet any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop by 1–2°C.
The tight clustering of probabilities around 11–15°C captures genuine forecast spread and resolution criteria tied to the precise official minimum reading, while the sharp drop-off above 15°C indicates strong consensus against warmer nights given current synoptic stability. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations will refine these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$523समाप्ति तिथि
1 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Ankara on September 1, 2026, reflects high uncertainty centered on mid-teens Celsius values, with market-implied probabilities clustered around 46–50% for outcomes from 10°C or below through 15°C and near-zero odds for 16°C or higher.** This positioning stems from ensemble forecast guidance showing overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions typical of early September high-pressure systems over central Anatolia. Multiple models converge on a minimum near 14–17°C at official stations such as Ankara Esenboğa, consistent with historical climatology (average September low ~14°C) but sensitive to small differences in wind speed, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing. Light northeasterly flow and low humidity favor efficient surface cooling after sunset, yet any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around 11–15°C captures genuine forecast spread and resolution criteria tied to the precise official minimum reading, while the sharp drop-off above 15°C indicates strong consensus against warmer nights given current synoptic stability. Upcoming model runs and real-time observations will refine these temperature thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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