**Persistent rain, overcast skies, and moderate humidity are keeping Ankara’s overnight minimum temperature tightly clustered around 13–14°C on September 17, 2026, which explains the near-even market odds across the 12–14°C range.** Official and model guidance (including Turkish Meteorological Service analogs and international ensembles) consistently shows daytime highs of 18–20°C under cloudy, showery conditions, with dew points near 13–15°C limiting radiative cooling after sunset. Light winds (generally 1–5 km/h) and high cloud cover reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while Ankara’s ~870 m elevation and urban setting add slight warmth. Recent observations confirm surface temperatures holding in the mid-teens through midday, with precipitation maintaining a stable boundary layer. The 45–49% probabilities on 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty: small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could allow an extra 1–2°C of cooling or trap heat under thicker clouds. Higher outcomes above 15°C carry negligible odds because current conditions preclude significant warming tonight, while sub-11°C would require unusually clear, calm air that models do not support. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and real-time surface observations as the day’s minimum is finalized overnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 सितंबर को अंकारा में सबसे कम तापमान?
11°C या नीचे 90%
14°C 49%
12°C 45%
15°C <1%
11°C या नीचे
90%
12°C
45%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
11°C या नीचे 90%
14°C 49%
12°C 45%
15°C <1%
11°C या नीचे
90%
12°C
45%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain, overcast skies, and moderate humidity are keeping Ankara’s overnight minimum temperature tightly clustered around 13–14°C on September 17, 2026, which explains the near-even market odds across the 12–14°C range.** Official and model guidance (including Turkish Meteorological Service analogs and international ensembles) consistently shows daytime highs of 18–20°C under cloudy, showery conditions, with dew points near 13–15°C limiting radiative cooling after sunset. Light winds (generally 1–5 km/h) and high cloud cover reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while Ankara’s ~870 m elevation and urban setting add slight warmth. Recent observations confirm surface temperatures holding in the mid-teens through midday, with precipitation maintaining a stable boundary layer. The 45–49% probabilities on 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty: small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could allow an extra 1–2°C of cooling or trap heat under thicker clouds. Higher outcomes above 15°C carry negligible odds because current conditions preclude significant warming tonight, while sub-11°C would require unusually clear, calm air that models do not support. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and real-time surface observations as the day’s minimum is finalized overnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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