Current forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C in Chengdu on September 12, aligning with the market's strong 92.5% implied probability for that outcome. Subtropical autumn conditions, including persistent cloud cover, light winds, and moderate humidity, limit overnight radiative cooling, consistent with historical September lows averaging 18–20°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant cold advection. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of official meteorological guidance, though scenarios such as clearer skies enhancing cooling or revisions in precipitation forecasts could shift the realized low toward 17°C or below.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को चेंगदू में सबसे कम तापमान?
12 सितंबर को चेंगदू में सबसे कम तापमान?
19°C 99%
14°C या उससे कम 20%
17°C 5%
16°C 2%
$541 वॉल्यूम
$541 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
नहीं
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
हाँ
20°C
नहीं
21°C
नहीं
22°C
नहीं
23°C
नहीं
24°C या अधिक
नहीं
19°C 99%
14°C या उससे कम 20%
17°C 5%
16°C 2%
$541 वॉल्यूम
$541 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
15°C
$45 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
16°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
17°C
$6 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
18°C
$121 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
19°C
$219 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
20°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
21°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
22°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
23°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
24°C या अधिक
$25 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C in Chengdu on September 12, aligning with the market's strong 92.5% implied probability for that outcome. Subtropical autumn conditions, including persistent cloud cover, light winds, and moderate humidity, limit overnight radiative cooling, consistent with historical September lows averaging 18–20°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant cold advection. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of official meteorological guidance, though scenarios such as clearer skies enhancing cooling or revisions in precipitation forecasts could shift the realized low toward 17°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$541समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C in Chengdu on September 12, aligning with the market's strong 92.5% implied probability for that outcome. Subtropical autumn conditions, including persistent cloud cover, light winds, and moderate humidity, limit overnight radiative cooling, consistent with historical September lows averaging 18–20°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant cold advection. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of official meteorological guidance, though scenarios such as clearer skies enhancing cooling or revisions in precipitation forecasts could shift the realized low toward 17°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$541समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Current forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C in Chengdu on September 12, aligning with the market's strong 92.5% implied probability for that outcome. Subtropical autumn conditions, including persistent cloud cover, light winds, and moderate humidity, limit overnight radiative cooling, consistent with historical September lows averaging 18–20°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant cold advection. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of official meteorological guidance, though scenarios such as clearer skies enhancing cooling or revisions in precipitation forecasts could shift the realized low toward 17°C or below.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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