Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates Istanbul's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 22–23°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and dew points around 18–20°C. This aligns with the current warm, stable late-summer pattern and typical August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 20°C absent unusual advection or radiative cooling. Trader positioning favoring 18°C or below (43% implied) alongside clustered probabilities around 21–23°C (each ~27.5%) reflects ongoing model uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow, with resolution depending on the precise minimum recorded at official stations before midnight on the 24th. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C या उससे नीचे 86%
19°C 37%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
18°C या उससे नीचे
86%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
28%
24°C
20%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C या अधिक
<1%
18°C या उससे नीचे 86%
19°C 37%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
18°C या उससे नीचे
86%
19°C
37%
20°C
19%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
28%
24°C
20%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates Istanbul's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 22–23°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and dew points around 18–20°C. This aligns with the current warm, stable late-summer pattern and typical August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 20°C absent unusual advection or radiative cooling. Trader positioning favoring 18°C or below (43% implied) alongside clustered probabilities around 21–23°C (each ~27.5%) reflects ongoing model uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and potential for slightly stronger onshore flow, with resolution depending on the precise minimum recorded at official stations before midnight on the 24th. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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