Recent forecasts from models including GFS and AEMET indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 2, limiting radiative cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup favors overnight lows near 18–22 °C, consistent with the historical average minimum of 17.6 °C but elevated by residual heat from daytime highs exceeding 33 °C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 17 °C or below and 18 °C reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at Retiro station. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast will determine whether subtle cooling or persistent warmth shifts the implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
2 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C 100%
19°C 17%
21°C 14%
23°C 13%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
17°C or below
-
18°C
100%
19°C
17%
20°C
7%
21°C
14%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
18°C 100%
19°C 17%
21°C 14%
23°C 13%
नया
नया
2 सित, 2026
17°C or below
$51 वॉल्यूम
-
18°C
$6 वॉल्यूम
100%
19°C
$6 वॉल्यूम
17%
20°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
7%
21°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
14%
22°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
5%
23°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
13%
24°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
7%
25°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
2%
26°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
2%
27°C or higher
$22 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and AEMET indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 2, limiting radiative cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup favors overnight lows near 18–22 °C, consistent with the historical average minimum of 17.6 °C but elevated by residual heat from daytime highs exceeding 33 °C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 17 °C or below and 18 °C reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at Retiro station. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast will determine whether subtle cooling or persistent warmth shifts the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$186समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and AEMET indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 2, limiting radiative cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup favors overnight lows near 18–22 °C, consistent with the historical average minimum of 17.6 °C but elevated by residual heat from daytime highs exceeding 33 °C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 17 °C or below and 18 °C reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at Retiro station. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast will determine whether subtle cooling or persistent warmth shifts the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$186समाप्ति तिथि
2 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and AEMET indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light northeasterly winds overnight into September 2, limiting radiative cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup favors overnight lows near 18–22 °C, consistent with the historical average minimum of 17.6 °C but elevated by residual heat from daytime highs exceeding 33 °C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 17 °C or below and 18 °C reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official AEMET observations at Retiro station. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast will determine whether subtle cooling or persistent warmth shifts the implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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