**Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving expectations for a minimum temperature of 16°C in Madrid on September 20, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with AEMET and global models consistently project overnight lows near this level under calm conditions, with radiative cooling moderated by light variable winds and dew points around 7–8°C. This aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability for exactly 16°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and current observations showing temperatures already declining toward that threshold by late evening. Historical September averages (around 14.8°C) are lower, but the current anomalous warmth and absence of cold advection or cloud cover support the warmer outcome. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast increase in low-level moisture or a brief wind shift that enhances cooling, though model agreement and ongoing high pressure make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
20 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C 99.1%
14°C या उससे कम 10%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$6,178 वॉल्यूम
$6,178 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
10%
15°C
<1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
16°C 99.1%
14°C या उससे कम 10%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$6,178 वॉल्यूम
$6,178 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
$3,184 वॉल्यूम
10%
15°C
$403 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$1,516 वॉल्यूम
99%
17°C
$224 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$534 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$67 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$72 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$51 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$51 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C या अधिक
$51 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving expectations for a minimum temperature of 16°C in Madrid on September 20, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with AEMET and global models consistently project overnight lows near this level under calm conditions, with radiative cooling moderated by light variable winds and dew points around 7–8°C. This aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability for exactly 16°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and current observations showing temperatures already declining toward that threshold by late evening. Historical September averages (around 14.8°C) are lower, but the current anomalous warmth and absence of cold advection or cloud cover support the warmer outcome. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast increase in low-level moisture or a brief wind shift that enhances cooling, though model agreement and ongoing high pressure make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,178समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving expectations for a minimum temperature of 16°C in Madrid on September 20, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with AEMET and global models consistently project overnight lows near this level under calm conditions, with radiative cooling moderated by light variable winds and dew points around 7–8°C. This aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability for exactly 16°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and current observations showing temperatures already declining toward that threshold by late evening. Historical September averages (around 14.8°C) are lower, but the current anomalous warmth and absence of cold advection or cloud cover support the warmer outcome. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast increase in low-level moisture or a brief wind shift that enhances cooling, though model agreement and ongoing high pressure make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,178समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over central Spain are driving expectations for a minimum temperature of 16°C in Madrid on September 20, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with AEMET and global models consistently project overnight lows near this level under calm conditions, with radiative cooling moderated by light variable winds and dew points around 7–8°C. This aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability for exactly 16°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and current observations showing temperatures already declining toward that threshold by late evening. Historical September averages (around 14.8°C) are lower, but the current anomalous warmth and absence of cold advection or cloud cover support the warmer outcome. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast increase in low-level moisture or a brief wind shift that enhances cooling, though model agreement and ongoing high pressure make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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