Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
32°C या उससे अधिक 60%
22°C or below 59%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
22°C or below
59%
23°C
17%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C या उससे अधिक
60%
32°C या उससे अधिक 60%
22°C or below 59%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
22°C or below
59%
23°C
17%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C या उससे अधिक
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover over Metro Manila are anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near 26–27°C for September 1, consistent with PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. High humidity (80–90%) and frequent showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the lowest reading well above the 22°C threshold while also capping daytime peaks near 30°C. Recent model runs show only modest spread in the 25–28°C range, with any brief clearing unlikely to produce significant additional cooling given the moist boundary layer. Traders therefore price the 27°C outcome near the middle of the distribution, while the split between warmer and cooler tails reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized rainfall intensity ahead of the final 24-hour forecast update.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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