Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a Milan low of 16–17°C on September 12 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS cluster in that narrow band under a stable high-pressure regime. Overnight radiative cooling is expected to dominate once skies clear after sunset, with light winds and dew points near 12°C enabling efficient heat loss from the urban boundary layer. September climatology places typical Milan minima around 15°C, yet recent model runs indicate slightly warmer values from lingering warmth and minimal cloud cover overnight. Resolution hinges on precise timing of any late-evening clouds or wind shifts, with updated short-range guidance due within hours that could tighten the spread between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को मिलान में सबसे कम तापमान?
14°C 90%
15°C 90%
13°C 1.9%
12°C या उससे कम <1%
$886 वॉल्यूम
$886 वॉल्यूम
12°C या उससे कम
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
-
17°C
51%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C या अधिक
<1%
14°C 90%
15°C 90%
13°C 1.9%
12°C या उससे कम <1%
$886 वॉल्यूम
$886 वॉल्यूम
12°C या उससे कम
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
90%
15°C
90%
16°C
-
17°C
51%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a Milan low of 16–17°C on September 12 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS cluster in that narrow band under a stable high-pressure regime. Overnight radiative cooling is expected to dominate once skies clear after sunset, with light winds and dew points near 12°C enabling efficient heat loss from the urban boundary layer. September climatology places typical Milan minima around 15°C, yet recent model runs indicate slightly warmer values from lingering warmth and minimal cloud cover overnight. Resolution hinges on precise timing of any late-evening clouds or wind shifts, with updated short-range guidance due within hours that could tighten the spread between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न