Recent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 सितंबर को म्यूनिख में सबसे कम तापमान?
9°C or below 90%
19°C or higher 59%
10°C 50%
14°C 50%
9°C or below
90%
10°C
50%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
50%
15°C
41%
16°C
2%
17°C
43%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
59%
9°C or below 90%
19°C or higher 59%
10°C 50%
14°C 50%
9°C or below
90%
10°C
50%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
50%
15°C
41%
16°C
2%
17°C
43%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance for Munich on September 1 shows overnight lows centered near 13°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 12.3°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between a cold tail (9°C or below at 47.5% implied probability) and a warm tail (19°C or higher at 46.0%) because ensemble forecasts exhibit notable spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible late adjustments from passing weak fronts. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating longwave radiative loss, subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures, and surface wind speeds that control mixing; these elements can swing the minimum by several degrees even within the final 48-hour window. Upcoming high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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