Current ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Munich around 10–13°C for September 19, consistent with the climatological average low of 9.7°C and recent observations showing gradual cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by dew point levels near 9–11°C and minimal cloud cover, supports these values, while model spread creates realistic downside risk for colder outcomes if a cooler air mass advects from the north. The market-implied 50% probability on 6°C or below reflects this uncertainty near the resolution window, with higher bins priced lower as new model runs and observational data are expected to narrow the range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 सितंबर को म्यूनिख में सबसे कम तापमान?
19 सितंबर को म्यूनिख में सबसे कम तापमान?
6°C या उससे कम 100%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
9°C 39%
नया
नया
19 सित, 2026
6°C या उससे कम
100%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
19%
11°C
11%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C या उससे अधिक
5%
6°C या उससे कम 100%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
9°C 39%
नया
नया
19 सित, 2026
6°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
100%
7°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
8°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
9°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
10°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
16°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Munich around 10–13°C for September 19, consistent with the climatological average low of 9.7°C and recent observations showing gradual cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by dew point levels near 9–11°C and minimal cloud cover, supports these values, while model spread creates realistic downside risk for colder outcomes if a cooler air mass advects from the north. The market-implied 50% probability on 6°C or below reflects this uncertainty near the resolution window, with higher bins priced lower as new model runs and observational data are expected to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Munich around 10–13°C for September 19, consistent with the climatological average low of 9.7°C and recent observations showing gradual cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by dew point levels near 9–11°C and minimal cloud cover, supports these values, while model spread creates realistic downside risk for colder outcomes if a cooler air mass advects from the north. The market-implied 50% probability on 6°C or below reflects this uncertainty near the resolution window, with higher bins priced lower as new model runs and observational data are expected to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Munich around 10–13°C for September 19, consistent with the climatological average low of 9.7°C and recent observations showing gradual cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by dew point levels near 9–11°C and minimal cloud cover, supports these values, while model spread creates realistic downside risk for colder outcomes if a cooler air mass advects from the north. The market-implied 50% probability on 6°C or below reflects this uncertainty near the resolution window, with higher bins priced lower as new model runs and observational data are expected to narrow the range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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