Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate a high of 23–24°C for Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies, light to moderate southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (38.5%) and 23°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the consensus maximum against typical September variability where daily highs average near 20°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and dry air have supported gradual warming through mid-September, with no significant frontal systems or marine layer intrusions expected to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread and local microclimate effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, keeping 25°C at 18.5% while lower outcomes remain low-probability. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 39%
23°C 24%
25°C 19%
22°C 14%
18°C या उससे कम
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
24%
24°C
39%
25°C
19%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C या उससे अधिक
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 24%
25°C 19%
22°C 14%
18°C या उससे कम
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
24%
24°C
39%
25°C
19%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate a high of 23–24°C for Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies, light to moderate southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (38.5%) and 23°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the consensus maximum against typical September variability where daily highs average near 20°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and dry air have supported gradual warming through mid-September, with no significant frontal systems or marine layer intrusions expected to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread and local microclimate effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, keeping 25°C at 18.5% while lower outcomes remain low-probability. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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