Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate minimum temperatures near 24°C for Tokyo on August 19 under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms and recent model runs showing little deviation from the 23–25°C range. Urban heat retention and high humidity typical of midsummer limit overnight cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps probabilities concentrated on these outcomes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 25°C and 31.5% for 24°C, incorporates the latest guidance on cloud cover and wind patterns that reduce the chance of lower readings. Updated short-range model data expected within 24–48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
25°C 49%
24°C 32%
23°C 13%
26°C 7%
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
32%
25°C
49%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 32%
23°C 13%
26°C 7%
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
32%
25°C
49%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate minimum temperatures near 24°C for Tokyo on August 19 under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms and recent model runs showing little deviation from the 23–25°C range. Urban heat retention and high humidity typical of midsummer limit overnight cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps probabilities concentrated on these outcomes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 25°C and 31.5% for 24°C, incorporates the latest guidance on cloud cover and wind patterns that reduce the chance of lower readings. Updated short-range model data expected within 24–48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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