Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum of 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 under cloudy skies with scattered showers driven by a frontal boundary and upper-level cold air advection. This supports the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C, as persistent cloud cover and high humidity suppress nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to shower timing and intensity, which could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C depending on wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological August minima near 23°C, with real-money positioning reflecting the latest model consensus favoring limited cooling. Updated JMA guidance and high-resolution runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया27 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
27 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 36%
26°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
नया
नया
27 अग, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
16%
26°C
30%
27°C
36%
28°C
13%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
26°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
नया
नया
27 अग, 2026
21°C or below
$113 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$13 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$71 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$71 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$540 वॉल्यूम
16%
26°C
$1,341 वॉल्यूम
30%
27°C
$552 वॉल्यूम
36%
28°C
$288 वॉल्यूम
13%
29°C
$149 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$144 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C or higher
$144 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum of 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 under cloudy skies with scattered showers driven by a frontal boundary and upper-level cold air advection. This supports the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C, as persistent cloud cover and high humidity suppress nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to shower timing and intensity, which could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C depending on wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological August minima near 23°C, with real-money positioning reflecting the latest model consensus favoring limited cooling. Updated JMA guidance and high-resolution runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,425समाप्ति तिथि
27 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum of 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 under cloudy skies with scattered showers driven by a frontal boundary and upper-level cold air advection. This supports the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C, as persistent cloud cover and high humidity suppress nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to shower timing and intensity, which could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C depending on wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological August minima near 23°C, with real-money positioning reflecting the latest model consensus favoring limited cooling. Updated JMA guidance and high-resolution runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,425समाप्ति तिथि
27 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum of 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 under cloudy skies with scattered showers driven by a frontal boundary and upper-level cold air advection. This supports the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C, as persistent cloud cover and high humidity suppress nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to shower timing and intensity, which could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C depending on wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological August minima near 23°C, with real-money positioning reflecting the latest model consensus favoring limited cooling. Updated JMA guidance and high-resolution runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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