Incumbent Rep. Ann Wagner's (R) commanding fundraising lead—$4.5 million cash on hand per mid-April FEC reports—and track record of comfortable victories, including 54.5% in the 2024 general election, anchor trader consensus favoring Republicans in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid/Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato. The R+4 partisan voting index and fragmented five-candidate Democratic primary, topped by Frederick Wellman's $246,000 cash, limit Democratic paths to victory. Recent candidate filings closed March 31 with no major shifts, while August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, underscoring incumbency advantages in this suburban St. Louis battleground.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
20%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$2,738 वॉल्यूम
80%
Democratic Party
$2,081 वॉल्यूम
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ann Wagner's (R) commanding fundraising lead—$4.5 million cash on hand per mid-April FEC reports—and track record of comfortable victories, including 54.5% in the 2024 general election, anchor trader consensus favoring Republicans in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid/Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato. The R+4 partisan voting index and fragmented five-candidate Democratic primary, topped by Frederick Wellman's $246,000 cash, limit Democratic paths to victory. Recent candidate filings closed March 31 with no major shifts, while August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, underscoring incumbency advantages in this suburban St. Louis battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,819समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ann Wagner's (R) commanding fundraising lead—$4.5 million cash on hand per mid-April FEC reports—and track record of comfortable victories, including 54.5% in the 2024 general election, anchor trader consensus favoring Republicans in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid/Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato. The R+4 partisan voting index and fragmented five-candidate Democratic primary, topped by Frederick Wellman's $246,000 cash, limit Democratic paths to victory. Recent candidate filings closed March 31 with no major shifts, while August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, underscoring incumbency advantages in this suburban St. Louis battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,819समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ann Wagner's (R) commanding fundraising lead—$4.5 million cash on hand per mid-April FEC reports—and track record of comfortable victories, including 54.5% in the 2024 general election, anchor trader consensus favoring Republicans in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid/Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato. The R+4 partisan voting index and fragmented five-candidate Democratic primary, topped by Frederick Wellman's $246,000 cash, limit Democratic paths to victory. Recent candidate filings closed March 31 with no major shifts, while August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, underscoring incumbency advantages in this suburban St. Louis battleground.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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