Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks re-election in Missouri’s 2nd District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Multiple challengers have entered both parties’ August 4 primaries, with Frederick Wellman emerging as the leading Democrat. A May 2026 poll showed Wagner trailing a generic Democrat amid low personal approval, prompting the DCCC to target the district. These factors sustain a clear but not overwhelming Republican edge in trader consensus, with Democrats’ path dependent on primary outcomes, turnout among college-educated suburban voters, and any further erosion of the incumbent’s standing before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
22%
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
22%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks re-election in Missouri’s 2nd District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Multiple challengers have entered both parties’ August 4 primaries, with Frederick Wellman emerging as the leading Democrat. A May 2026 poll showed Wagner trailing a generic Democrat amid low personal approval, prompting the DCCC to target the district. These factors sustain a clear but not overwhelming Republican edge in trader consensus, with Democrats’ path dependent on primary outcomes, turnout among college-educated suburban voters, and any further erosion of the incumbent’s standing before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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