Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican lean reflected in its Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Wagner, seeking a seventh term, benefits from incumbency and the district’s voting patterns, including her 2024 win. Democrats have placed the seat on the DCCC’s target list for the first time since 2020 and fielded primary challengers ahead of the August 4 primaries, yet trader consensus at 76.5% Republican probability shows limited movement from these early-cycle efforts. Redistricting changes and a potential ballot referendum focus more on other Missouri districts, leaving MO-02 dynamics stable through mid-2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
23%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$3,148 वॉल्यूम
77%
Democratic Party
$2,238 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican lean reflected in its Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Wagner, seeking a seventh term, benefits from incumbency and the district’s voting patterns, including her 2024 win. Democrats have placed the seat on the DCCC’s target list for the first time since 2020 and fielded primary challengers ahead of the August 4 primaries, yet trader consensus at 76.5% Republican probability shows limited movement from these early-cycle efforts. Redistricting changes and a potential ballot referendum focus more on other Missouri districts, leaving MO-02 dynamics stable through mid-2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,386समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican lean reflected in its Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Wagner, seeking a seventh term, benefits from incumbency and the district’s voting patterns, including her 2024 win. Democrats have placed the seat on the DCCC’s target list for the first time since 2020 and fielded primary challengers ahead of the August 4 primaries, yet trader consensus at 76.5% Republican probability shows limited movement from these early-cycle efforts. Redistricting changes and a potential ballot referendum focus more on other Missouri districts, leaving MO-02 dynamics stable through mid-2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$5,386समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, a suburban St. Louis seat with a Republican lean reflected in its Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Wagner, seeking a seventh term, benefits from incumbency and the district’s voting patterns, including her 2024 win. Democrats have placed the seat on the DCCC’s target list for the first time since 2020 and fielded primary challengers ahead of the August 4 primaries, yet trader consensus at 76.5% Republican probability shows limited movement from these early-cycle efforts. Redistricting changes and a potential ballot referendum focus more on other Missouri districts, leaving MO-02 dynamics stable through mid-2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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