Missouri’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+29 and nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Wesley Bell holds the seat after defeating former Representative Cori Bush in 2024, and the August 4 Democratic primary—while competitive—does not alter the district’s underlying composition. Republican candidates have filed but face structural barriers in a majority-Black, urban St. Louis-area constituency where Democratic nominees have consistently won by wide margins. The 93.5% Democratic consensus in the market reflects this entrenched advantage, with any reversal requiring an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMO -01 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$23,821 वॉल्यूम
$23,821 वॉल्यूम
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$23,821 वॉल्यूम
$23,821 वॉल्यूम
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+29 and nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Wesley Bell holds the seat after defeating former Representative Cori Bush in 2024, and the August 4 Democratic primary—while competitive—does not alter the district’s underlying composition. Republican candidates have filed but face structural barriers in a majority-Black, urban St. Louis-area constituency where Democratic nominees have consistently won by wide margins. The 93.5% Democratic consensus in the market reflects this entrenched advantage, with any reversal requiring an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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