Polymarket traders assign a 54.5% implied probability to a Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate hike in June, narrowly ahead of no change at 46.5%, reflecting hawkish sentiment after the RBA's split 5-4 decision to raise the target by 25 basis points to 4.10% on March 17 amid sticky inflation. February CPI eased slightly to 3.7% annually—still above the 2-3% target—while unemployment ticked up to 4.3%, introducing caution and bolstering the no-change camp. Key swing factors include the March CPI release on April 29 and the May 5 policy meeting, where further inflation persistence or labor softening could decisively shift the closely contested odds. ASX rate futures currently price a 64% May hike chance, underscoring near-term tightening risks ahead of June.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयावृद्धि 40%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 37%
कमी 4.0%
$18,713 वॉल्यूम
$18,713 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
कमी
4%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
40%
वृद्धि
40%
वृद्धि 40%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 37%
कमी 4.0%
$18,713 वॉल्यूम
$18,713 वॉल्यूम
16 जून, 2026
कमी
$6,043 वॉल्यूम
4%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$6,218 वॉल्यूम
40%
वृद्धि
$6,452 वॉल्यूम
40%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 54.5% implied probability to a Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate hike in June, narrowly ahead of no change at 46.5%, reflecting hawkish sentiment after the RBA's split 5-4 decision to raise the target by 25 basis points to 4.10% on March 17 amid sticky inflation. February CPI eased slightly to 3.7% annually—still above the 2-3% target—while unemployment ticked up to 4.3%, introducing caution and bolstering the no-change camp. Key swing factors include the March CPI release on April 29 and the May 5 policy meeting, where further inflation persistence or labor softening could decisively shift the closely contested odds. ASX rate futures currently price a 64% May hike chance, underscoring near-term tightening risks ahead of June.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,713समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 54.5% implied probability to a Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate hike in June, narrowly ahead of no change at 46.5%, reflecting hawkish sentiment after the RBA's split 5-4 decision to raise the target by 25 basis points to 4.10% on March 17 amid sticky inflation. February CPI eased slightly to 3.7% annually—still above the 2-3% target—while unemployment ticked up to 4.3%, introducing caution and bolstering the no-change camp. Key swing factors include the March CPI release on April 29 and the May 5 policy meeting, where further inflation persistence or labor softening could decisively shift the closely contested odds. ASX rate futures currently price a 64% May hike chance, underscoring near-term tightening risks ahead of June.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$18,713समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 54.5% implied probability to a Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate hike in June, narrowly ahead of no change at 46.5%, reflecting hawkish sentiment after the RBA's split 5-4 decision to raise the target by 25 basis points to 4.10% on March 17 amid sticky inflation. February CPI eased slightly to 3.7% annually—still above the 2-3% target—while unemployment ticked up to 4.3%, introducing caution and bolstering the no-change camp. Key swing factors include the March CPI release on April 29 and the May 5 policy meeting, where further inflation persistence or labor softening could decisively shift the closely contested odds. ASX rate futures currently price a 64% May hike chance, underscoring near-term tightening risks ahead of June.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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