Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate increase at the May 5, 2026 meeting, reflecting sticky inflation and a resilient labor market despite the Board's hawkish March 18 hike lifting the cash rate target to 4.10%. February 2026 CPI eased marginally to 3.7% annually—still above the 2-3% target—with trimmed mean core inflation holding at 3.3%, while today's March labour force data showed unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside robust full-time job gains and employment rising to 14.8 million. ASX 30-Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures for May align closely at around 64% hike odds, underscoring capital-backed expectations amid energy supply disruptions; no-change at 29% captures pause risks, with cuts at 0.7% dismissed amid tight conditions. Key watch: April CPI due late April.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामई में रिज़र्व बैंक ऑफ़ ऑस्ट्रेलिया का फ़ैसला?
मई में रिज़र्व बैंक ऑफ़ ऑस्ट्रेलिया का फ़ैसला?
वृद्धि 61%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 37%
कमी <1%
$28,642 वॉल्यूम
$28,642 वॉल्यूम
5 मई, 2026
कमी
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
30%
वृद्धि
61%
वृद्धि 61%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 37%
कमी <1%
$28,642 वॉल्यूम
$28,642 वॉल्यूम
5 मई, 2026
कमी
$8,273 वॉल्यूम
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$4,016 वॉल्यूम
30%
वृद्धि
$16,352 वॉल्यूम
61%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate increase at the May 5, 2026 meeting, reflecting sticky inflation and a resilient labor market despite the Board's hawkish March 18 hike lifting the cash rate target to 4.10%. February 2026 CPI eased marginally to 3.7% annually—still above the 2-3% target—with trimmed mean core inflation holding at 3.3%, while today's March labour force data showed unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside robust full-time job gains and employment rising to 14.8 million. ASX 30-Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures for May align closely at around 64% hike odds, underscoring capital-backed expectations amid energy supply disruptions; no-change at 29% captures pause risks, with cuts at 0.7% dismissed amid tight conditions. Key watch: April CPI due late April.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 3, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,642समाप्ति तिथि
5 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 3, 2026, 10:32 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate increase at the May 5, 2026 meeting, reflecting sticky inflation and a resilient labor market despite the Board's hawkish March 18 hike lifting the cash rate target to 4.10%. February 2026 CPI eased marginally to 3.7% annually—still above the 2-3% target—with trimmed mean core inflation holding at 3.3%, while today's March labour force data showed unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside robust full-time job gains and employment rising to 14.8 million. ASX 30-Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures for May align closely at around 64% hike odds, underscoring capital-backed expectations amid energy supply disruptions; no-change at 29% captures pause risks, with cuts at 0.7% dismissed amid tight conditions. Key watch: April CPI due late April.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$28,642समाप्ति तिथि
5 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 3, 2026, 10:32 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate increase at the May 5, 2026 meeting, reflecting sticky inflation and a resilient labor market despite the Board's hawkish March 18 hike lifting the cash rate target to 4.10%. February 2026 CPI eased marginally to 3.7% annually—still above the 2-3% target—with trimmed mean core inflation holding at 3.3%, while today's March labour force data showed unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside robust full-time job gains and employment rising to 14.8 million. ASX 30-Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures for May align closely at around 64% hike odds, underscoring capital-backed expectations amid energy supply disruptions; no-change at 29% captures pause risks, with cuts at 0.7% dismissed amid tight conditions. Key watch: April CPI due late April.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न