The 10-year Treasury yield has hovered around 4.27% through mid-April 2026, down from early-month peaks near 4.34% amid sticky core PCE inflation at 3.0% year-over-year released April 9, which reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy stance. A pivotal driver was the fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced April 8, which sharply lowered yields by easing geopolitical risk premiums and anticipated oil price declines, though recent oil gains and Middle East signals have prompted some rebound. Traders weigh elevated US fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance against upcoming catalysts like note auctions, the March PCE report on April 30, and the FOMC meeting April 29-30, with limited trading days left in the month to alter trajectories.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
↑4.60%
3%
↑4.50%
22%
↑4.45%
23%
↑4.40%
48%
↓4.25%
72%
↓4.20%
54%
↓4.15%
60%
↓4.10%
18%
↓4.00%
6%
$9,471 वॉल्यूम
↑4.60%
$1,490 वॉल्यूम
3%
↑4.50%
$313 वॉल्यूम
22%
↑4.45%
$3,830 वॉल्यूम
23%
↑4.40%
$1,565 वॉल्यूम
48%
↓4.25%
$102 वॉल्यूम
72%
↓4.20%
$0 वॉल्यूम
54%
↓4.15%
$569 वॉल्यूम
60%
↓4.10%
$12 वॉल्यूम
18%
↓4.00%
$1,077 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.The 10-year Treasury yield has hovered around 4.27% through mid-April 2026, down from early-month peaks near 4.34% amid sticky core PCE inflation at 3.0% year-over-year released April 9, which reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy stance. A pivotal driver was the fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced April 8, which sharply lowered yields by easing geopolitical risk premiums and anticipated oil price declines, though recent oil gains and Middle East signals have prompted some rebound. Traders weigh elevated US fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance against upcoming catalysts like note auctions, the March PCE report on April 30, and the FOMC meeting April 29-30, with limited trading days left in the month to alter trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 2, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,471समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.The 10-year Treasury yield has hovered around 4.27% through mid-April 2026, down from early-month peaks near 4.34% amid sticky core PCE inflation at 3.0% year-over-year released April 9, which reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy stance. A pivotal driver was the fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced April 8, which sharply lowered yields by easing geopolitical risk premiums and anticipated oil price declines, though recent oil gains and Middle East signals have prompted some rebound. Traders weigh elevated US fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance against upcoming catalysts like note auctions, the March PCE report on April 30, and the FOMC meeting April 29-30, with limited trading days left in the month to alter trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
वॉल्यूम
$9,471समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has hovered around 4.27% through mid-April 2026, down from early-month peaks near 4.34% amid sticky core PCE inflation at 3.0% year-over-year released April 9, which reinforced expectations for a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy stance. A pivotal driver was the fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced April 8, which sharply lowered yields by easing geopolitical risk premiums and anticipated oil price declines, though recent oil gains and Middle East signals have prompted some rebound. Traders weigh elevated US fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury issuance against upcoming catalysts like note auctions, the March PCE report on April 30, and the FOMC meeting April 29-30, with limited trading days left in the month to alter trajectories.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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