Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for San Francisco metro median home value on April 30, with the 1.226-1.244 million bin at 43.6% implied probability edging the 1.172-1.19 million range at 37.5%, signaling uncertainty over spring momentum. Surging March 2026 median sale prices—reaching $2.15 million for single-family homes, up 18% year-over-year per Compass data—amid AI-fueled tech wealth and historic inventory lows have boosted sentiment for modest ZHVI appreciation from recent metro levels around $1.14 million. Countering this, persistent 6.5%+ mortgage rates constrain broader buyer participation, while Bay Area listings show mixed trends; key swing factors include April pending sales volume and days-on-market metrics ahead of Zillow's monthly update.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWhat will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?
1.226 - 1.244m 43.6%
1.208 - 1.226m 24%
1.172 - 1.19m 10%
1.244 - 1.262m 9.2%
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<1.154m
7%
1.154 - 1.172m
6%
1.172 - 1.19m
28%
1.19 - 1.208m
8%
1.208 - 1.226m
30%
1.226 - 1.244m
44%
1.244 - 1.262m
9%
>1.262m
6%
1.226 - 1.244m 43.6%
1.208 - 1.226m 24%
1.172 - 1.19m 10%
1.244 - 1.262m 9.2%
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<1.154m
$51 वॉल्यूम
7%
1.154 - 1.172m
$43 वॉल्यूम
6%
1.172 - 1.19m
$460 वॉल्यूम
28%
1.19 - 1.208m
$89 वॉल्यूम
8%
1.208 - 1.226m
$238 वॉल्यूम
30%
1.226 - 1.244m
$177 वॉल्यूम
44%
1.244 - 1.262m
$54 वॉल्यूम
9%
>1.262m
$48 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for San Francisco metro median home value on April 30, with the 1.226-1.244 million bin at 43.6% implied probability edging the 1.172-1.19 million range at 37.5%, signaling uncertainty over spring momentum. Surging March 2026 median sale prices—reaching $2.15 million for single-family homes, up 18% year-over-year per Compass data—amid AI-fueled tech wealth and historic inventory lows have boosted sentiment for modest ZHVI appreciation from recent metro levels around $1.14 million. Countering this, persistent 6.5%+ mortgage rates constrain broader buyer participation, while Bay Area listings show mixed trends; key swing factors include April pending sales volume and days-on-market metrics ahead of Zillow's monthly update.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,161समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for San Francisco metro median home value on April 30, with the 1.226-1.244 million bin at 43.6% implied probability edging the 1.172-1.19 million range at 37.5%, signaling uncertainty over spring momentum. Surging March 2026 median sale prices—reaching $2.15 million for single-family homes, up 18% year-over-year per Compass data—amid AI-fueled tech wealth and historic inventory lows have boosted sentiment for modest ZHVI appreciation from recent metro levels around $1.14 million. Countering this, persistent 6.5%+ mortgage rates constrain broader buyer participation, while Bay Area listings show mixed trends; key swing factors include April pending sales volume and days-on-market metrics ahead of Zillow's monthly update.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
वॉल्यूम
$1,161समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race for San Francisco metro median home value on April 30, with the 1.226-1.244 million bin at 43.6% implied probability edging the 1.172-1.19 million range at 37.5%, signaling uncertainty over spring momentum. Surging March 2026 median sale prices—reaching $2.15 million for single-family homes, up 18% year-over-year per Compass data—amid AI-fueled tech wealth and historic inventory lows have boosted sentiment for modest ZHVI appreciation from recent metro levels around $1.14 million. Countering this, persistent 6.5%+ mortgage rates constrain broader buyer participation, while Bay Area listings show mixed trends; key swing factors include April pending sales volume and days-on-market metrics ahead of Zillow's monthly update.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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