Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, followed by active roadshow preparations targeting a late-October or November listing at roughly $2 trillion valuation, has driven the 96% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent revenue acceleration to a $100 billion-plus annualized run rate and plans to showcase third-quarter results have reinforced trader confidence in a swift completion. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has publicly ruled out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to address AI safety, alignment, and regulatory demands as a private company before pursuing a potential 2027 debut. While Anthropic’s timeline could still slip due to SEC review delays, market volatility, or last-minute governance adjustments, OpenAI’s stated deferral leaves little realistic path for it to list first absent a major reversal in its safety priorities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या पहले एंथ्रोपिक या ओपनएआई आईपीओ होगा?
क्या पहले एंथ्रोपिक या ओपनएआई आईपीओ होगा?
एंथ्रॉपिक
96% संभावना
$383,682 वॉल्यूम
$383,682 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
एंथ्रॉपिक
96% संभावना
$383,682 वॉल्यूम
$383,682 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, followed by active roadshow preparations targeting a late-October or November listing at roughly $2 trillion valuation, has driven the 96% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent revenue acceleration to a $100 billion-plus annualized run rate and plans to showcase third-quarter results have reinforced trader confidence in a swift completion. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has publicly ruled out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to address AI safety, alignment, and regulatory demands as a private company before pursuing a potential 2027 debut. While Anthropic’s timeline could still slip due to SEC review delays, market volatility, or last-minute governance adjustments, OpenAI’s stated deferral leaves little realistic path for it to list first absent a major reversal in its safety priorities.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$383,682समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2028बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, followed by active roadshow preparations targeting a late-October or November listing at roughly $2 trillion valuation, has driven the 96% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent revenue acceleration to a $100 billion-plus annualized run rate and plans to showcase third-quarter results have reinforced trader confidence in a swift completion. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has publicly ruled out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to address AI safety, alignment, and regulatory demands as a private company before pursuing a potential 2027 debut. While Anthropic’s timeline could still slip due to SEC review delays, market volatility, or last-minute governance adjustments, OpenAI’s stated deferral leaves little realistic path for it to list first absent a major reversal in its safety priorities.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$383,682समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2028बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, followed by active roadshow preparations targeting a late-October or November listing at roughly $2 trillion valuation, has driven the 96% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent revenue acceleration to a $100 billion-plus annualized run rate and plans to showcase third-quarter results have reinforced trader confidence in a swift completion. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has publicly ruled out a 2026 IPO, citing the need to address AI safety, alignment, and regulatory demands as a private company before pursuing a potential 2027 debut. While Anthropic’s timeline could still slip due to SEC review delays, market volatility, or last-minute governance adjustments, OpenAI’s stated deferral leaves little realistic path for it to list first absent a major reversal in its safety priorities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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