OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and ongoing debate over timing between late 2026 and 2027 anchor trader sentiment, with the <$30B and $40–50B raise buckets commanding the highest implied probabilities amid a last private valuation near $852 billion. Strong revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, supports capital needs for infrastructure, yet persistent losses and cash burn temper appetite for an outsized primary raise. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier filing and broader market conditions for mega-IPO sizing create the tight spread across lower-to-mid outcomes, while execution risks around achieving a $1 trillion target valuation and regulatory scrutiny keep higher tranches discounted. Upcoming earnings and banker updates remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 33.9%
$80B–$90B 27.0%
$100B+ 16%
$60B–$70B 8%
<$30B
34%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
36%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
27%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
16%
<$30B 33.9%
$80B–$90B 27.0%
$100B+ 16%
$60B–$70B 8%
<$30B
34%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
36%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
27%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
16%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and ongoing debate over timing between late 2026 and 2027 anchor trader sentiment, with the <$30B and $40–50B raise buckets commanding the highest implied probabilities amid a last private valuation near $852 billion. Strong revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, supports capital needs for infrastructure, yet persistent losses and cash burn temper appetite for an outsized primary raise. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s earlier filing and broader market conditions for mega-IPO sizing create the tight spread across lower-to-mid outcomes, while execution risks around achieving a $1 trillion target valuation and regulatory scrutiny keep higher tranches discounted. Upcoming earnings and banker updates remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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