Anthropic's Claude.ai has endured a fresh cluster of outages, with official status reports confirming disruptions on April 15 (elevated errors across Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code for nearly three hours), April 14 (degraded admin API endpoints for six hours), and April 13 (login failures on Claude.ai), fueling trader consensus for extensive monthly downtime. This follows verified incidents like April 3's Claude Sonnet 4.6 errors and aligns with user-reported spikes on Downdetector around early April dates, amid broader 2026 reliability strains from aggressive scaling to rival OpenAI. With over half of April passed and multiple days already impacted, the market prices 12+ downtime days at 83.5% implied probability, anticipating persistent infrastructure challenges unless Anthropic announces stability fixes soon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12+ 84%
9-11 12%
6-8 <1%
$64,006 वॉल्यूम
$64,006 वॉल्यूम
6-8
<1%
9-11
12%
12+
84%
12+ 84%
9-11 12%
6-8 <1%
$64,006 वॉल्यूम
$64,006 वॉल्यूम
6-8
<1%
9-11
12%
12+
84%
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude.ai has endured a fresh cluster of outages, with official status reports confirming disruptions on April 15 (elevated errors across Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code for nearly three hours), April 14 (degraded admin API endpoints for six hours), and April 13 (login failures on Claude.ai), fueling trader consensus for extensive monthly downtime. This follows verified incidents like April 3's Claude Sonnet 4.6 errors and aligns with user-reported spikes on Downdetector around early April dates, amid broader 2026 reliability strains from aggressive scaling to rival OpenAI. With over half of April passed and multiple days already impacted, the market prices 12+ downtime days at 83.5% implied probability, anticipating persistent infrastructure challenges unless Anthropic announces stability fixes soon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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