Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12+ 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$85,583 वॉल्यूम
$85,583 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
0-2
नहीं
3-5
नहीं
6-8
नहीं
9-11
नहीं
12+
हाँ
12+ 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$85,583 वॉल्यूम
$85,583 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
0-2
$16,970 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
3-5
$15,327 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
6-8
$17,025 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
9-11
$15,185 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12+
$21,076 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$85,583समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
वॉल्यूम
$85,583समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न