OpenAI’s focus on advancing its core large language models, including the GPT-5.6 series and Astra hardware device, along with enterprise tools and an anticipated IPO, has left little bandwidth for a full social network launch by year-end. The company’s earlier Sora app experiment—a short-form AI video platform launched in late 2025—gained initial traction but was discontinued by March 2026 amid declining engagement, high compute costs, and moderation challenges. Reports from early 2026 described any broader social project as an early-stage effort by a team of fewer than ten people, with no confirmed timeline or major resources committed since. While a surprise pivot or integration of social features into existing products remains possible, trader consensus at 93.5% for “No” reflects the absence of credible signals supporting a standalone rollout before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
7% संभावना
$63,327 वॉल्यूम
$63,327 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
7% संभावना
$63,327 वॉल्यूम
$63,327 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s focus on advancing its core large language models, including the GPT-5.6 series and Astra hardware device, along with enterprise tools and an anticipated IPO, has left little bandwidth for a full social network launch by year-end. The company’s earlier Sora app experiment—a short-form AI video platform launched in late 2025—gained initial traction but was discontinued by March 2026 amid declining engagement, high compute costs, and moderation challenges. Reports from early 2026 described any broader social project as an early-stage effort by a team of fewer than ten people, with no confirmed timeline or major resources committed since. While a surprise pivot or integration of social features into existing products remains possible, trader consensus at 93.5% for “No” reflects the absence of credible signals supporting a standalone rollout before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$63,327समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s focus on advancing its core large language models, including the GPT-5.6 series and Astra hardware device, along with enterprise tools and an anticipated IPO, has left little bandwidth for a full social network launch by year-end. The company’s earlier Sora app experiment—a short-form AI video platform launched in late 2025—gained initial traction but was discontinued by March 2026 amid declining engagement, high compute costs, and moderation challenges. Reports from early 2026 described any broader social project as an early-stage effort by a team of fewer than ten people, with no confirmed timeline or major resources committed since. While a surprise pivot or integration of social features into existing products remains possible, trader consensus at 93.5% for “No” reflects the absence of credible signals supporting a standalone rollout before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$63,327समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s focus on advancing its core large language models, including the GPT-5.6 series and Astra hardware device, along with enterprise tools and an anticipated IPO, has left little bandwidth for a full social network launch by year-end. The company’s earlier Sora app experiment—a short-form AI video platform launched in late 2025—gained initial traction but was discontinued by March 2026 amid declining engagement, high compute costs, and moderation challenges. Reports from early 2026 described any broader social project as an early-stage effort by a team of fewer than ten people, with no confirmed timeline or major resources committed since. While a surprise pivot or integration of social features into existing products remains possible, trader consensus at 93.5% for “No” reflects the absence of credible signals supporting a standalone rollout before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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