Ukrainian forces have conducted targeted counteroffensives in 2026, most notably Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector and advances around Oleksandrivka and Kupyansk, which eliminated Russian salients and restored limited maneuver through strikes on drone sites, electronic warfare assets, and supply lines. These operations have produced net territorial gains for Ukraine this year according to open-source assessments, though fighting remains concentrated in Donetsk Oblast around the Fortress Belt and adjacent axes. Uspenivka, previously occupied by Russian forces in late 2025, lies outside the primary current zones of Ukrainian counterattacks, with no verified reports of Ukrainian forces contesting or approaching the settlement in recent weeks. Broader dynamics include sustained Russian pressure in select sectors alongside Ukrainian long-range strikes degrading Russian logistics and air defenses, while diplomatic contacts between Kyiv and Washington continue without immediate impact on frontline positions. Any near-term re-entry would require a shift in operational focus or resources away from ongoing defensive and counteroffensive priorities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या यूक्रेन... तक Uspenivka में फिर से प्रवेश करेगा?
क्या यूक्रेन... तक Uspenivka में फिर से प्रवेश करेगा?
$197,588 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
December 31
31%
30 सितंबर
6%
$197,588 वॉल्यूम
December 31
$25,898 वॉल्यूम
31%
30 सितंबर
$34,533 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian forces have conducted targeted counteroffensives in 2026, most notably Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector and advances around Oleksandrivka and Kupyansk, which eliminated Russian salients and restored limited maneuver through strikes on drone sites, electronic warfare assets, and supply lines. These operations have produced net territorial gains for Ukraine this year according to open-source assessments, though fighting remains concentrated in Donetsk Oblast around the Fortress Belt and adjacent axes. Uspenivka, previously occupied by Russian forces in late 2025, lies outside the primary current zones of Ukrainian counterattacks, with no verified reports of Ukrainian forces contesting or approaching the settlement in recent weeks. Broader dynamics include sustained Russian pressure in select sectors alongside Ukrainian long-range strikes degrading Russian logistics and air defenses, while diplomatic contacts between Kyiv and Washington continue without immediate impact on frontline positions. Any near-term re-entry would require a shift in operational focus or resources away from ongoing defensive and counteroffensive priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: May 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$197,588समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian forces have conducted targeted counteroffensives in 2026, most notably Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector and advances around Oleksandrivka and Kupyansk, which eliminated Russian salients and restored limited maneuver through strikes on drone sites, electronic warfare assets, and supply lines. These operations have produced net territorial gains for Ukraine this year according to open-source assessments, though fighting remains concentrated in Donetsk Oblast around the Fortress Belt and adjacent axes. Uspenivka, previously occupied by Russian forces in late 2025, lies outside the primary current zones of Ukrainian counterattacks, with no verified reports of Ukrainian forces contesting or approaching the settlement in recent weeks. Broader dynamics include sustained Russian pressure in select sectors alongside Ukrainian long-range strikes degrading Russian logistics and air defenses, while diplomatic contacts between Kyiv and Washington continue without immediate impact on frontline positions. Any near-term re-entry would require a shift in operational focus or resources away from ongoing defensive and counteroffensive priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$197,588समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have conducted targeted counteroffensives in 2026, most notably Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman sector and advances around Oleksandrivka and Kupyansk, which eliminated Russian salients and restored limited maneuver through strikes on drone sites, electronic warfare assets, and supply lines. These operations have produced net territorial gains for Ukraine this year according to open-source assessments, though fighting remains concentrated in Donetsk Oblast around the Fortress Belt and adjacent axes. Uspenivka, previously occupied by Russian forces in late 2025, lies outside the primary current zones of Ukrainian counterattacks, with no verified reports of Ukrainian forces contesting or approaching the settlement in recent weeks. Broader dynamics include sustained Russian pressure in select sectors alongside Ukrainian long-range strikes degrading Russian logistics and air defenses, while diplomatic contacts between Kyiv and Washington continue without immediate impact on frontline positions. Any near-term re-entry would require a shift in operational focus or resources away from ongoing defensive and counteroffensive priorities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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