Trader consensus on Polymarket prices June 2026 WTI crude oil (CLM26) settlement in the $77-$84 range at 32% implied probability, narrowly trailing >$84 at 36%, reflecting a sharp unwind of geopolitical risk premium after Iran's Foreign Minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz remains fully open, driving front-month prices down over 11% to $83.85 in the past 48 hours. This de-risking offsets earlier Middle East tensions, with June futures at $84 amid OPEC+ plans for modest May output hikes and a EIA-reported 913,000-barrel US crude inventory draw to 463.8 million barrels, slightly above five-year averages. Key differentiators include potential Hormuz supply shocks, China demand recovery, and upcoming EIA reports, with bearish forecasts like J.P. Morgan's $60/bbl 2026 average tempering upside while Goldman Sachs sees $85 Brent on lingering risks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 36%
$77-$84 32%
$70-$77 17.9%
$63-$70 13.8%
$134,742 Vol.
$134,742 Vol.
<$42
3%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
10%
$70-$77
18%
$77-$84
32%
>$84
36%
>$84 36%
$77-$84 32%
$70-$77 17.9%
$63-$70 13.8%
$134,742 Vol.
$134,742 Vol.
<$42
3%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
10%
$70-$77
18%
$77-$84
32%
>$84
36%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices June 2026 WTI crude oil (CLM26) settlement in the $77-$84 range at 32% implied probability, narrowly trailing >$84 at 36%, reflecting a sharp unwind of geopolitical risk premium after Iran's Foreign Minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz remains fully open, driving front-month prices down over 11% to $83.85 in the past 48 hours. This de-risking offsets earlier Middle East tensions, with June futures at $84 amid OPEC+ plans for modest May output hikes and a EIA-reported 913,000-barrel US crude inventory draw to 463.8 million barrels, slightly above five-year averages. Key differentiators include potential Hormuz supply shocks, China demand recovery, and upcoming EIA reports, with bearish forecasts like J.P. Morgan's $60/bbl 2026 average tempering upside while Goldman Sachs sees $85 Brent on lingering risks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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