Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus shows a razor-thin race for June Gold (GC) futures settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 at 19.0%, $5,000-$5,400 at 17.1%, and $4,600-$5,000 at 17.0% implied probabilities, centered around current Jun-2026 contract levels near $4,850. This fragmentation stems from dueling forces: upside anchored by persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East boosting safe-haven flows, countered by a firmer U.S. dollar and climbing 10-year Treasury yields after stronger-than-expected March economic data tempered Fed rate-cut bets. Key differentiators include upcoming April CPI print and May FOMC signals, where hotter inflation could cap gains below $5,000, while escalation risks might propel prices toward $5,400.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiApa yang akan diselesaikan Gold (GC) pada bulan Juni?
Apa yang akan diselesaikan Gold (GC) pada bulan Juni?
$4.200-$4.600 19.0%
$5.000-$5.400 17.0%
$4.600-$5.000 17%
$5.400-$5.800 13%
$892,269 Vol.
$892,269 Vol.
<$3.800
6%
$3,800-$4,200
12%
$4.200-$4.600
19%
$4.600-$5.000
17%
$5.000-$5.400
17%
$5.400-$5.800
13%
$5.800-$6.200
7%
>$6.200
4%
$4.200-$4.600 19.0%
$5.000-$5.400 17.0%
$4.600-$5.000 17%
$5.400-$5.800 13%
$892,269 Vol.
$892,269 Vol.
<$3.800
6%
$3,800-$4,200
12%
$4.200-$4.600
19%
$4.600-$5.000
17%
$5.000-$5.400
17%
$5.400-$5.800
13%
$5.800-$6.200
7%
>$6.200
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus shows a razor-thin race for June Gold (GC) futures settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 at 19.0%, $5,000-$5,400 at 17.1%, and $4,600-$5,000 at 17.0% implied probabilities, centered around current Jun-2026 contract levels near $4,850. This fragmentation stems from dueling forces: upside anchored by persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East boosting safe-haven flows, countered by a firmer U.S. dollar and climbing 10-year Treasury yields after stronger-than-expected March economic data tempered Fed rate-cut bets. Key differentiators include upcoming April CPI print and May FOMC signals, where hotter inflation could cap gains below $5,000, while escalation risks might propel prices toward $5,400.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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