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Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Market icon
Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Mark Kelly 18%

Gavin Newsom 16%

Andy Beshear 16%

James Talarico 16%

Polymarket
BARU

Mark Kelly 18%

Gavin Newsom 16%

Andy Beshear 16%

James Talarico 16%

Polymarket
BARU

Gavin Newsom

$23 Vol.

16%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1 Vol.

12%

Pete Buttigieg

$1 Vol.

12%

Josh Shapiro

$1 Vol.

13%

Wes Moore

$1 Vol.

14%

Stephen A. Smith

$1 Vol.

5%

Kamala Harris

$1 Vol.

16%

Gretchen Whitmer

$1 Vol.

15%

Andy Beshear

$1 Vol.

16%

Jon Ossoff

$1 Vol.

15%

Mark Cuban

$2 Vol.

15%

J.B. Pritzker

$1 Vol.

14%

Raphael Warnock

$1 Vol.

14%

Cory Booker

$1 Vol.

15%

Tim Walz

$1 Vol.

15%

Michelle Obama

$1 Vol.

10%

Mark Kelly

$1 Vol.

18%

Rahm Emanuel

$1 Vol.

15%

Gina Raimondo

$1 Vol.

15%

Zohran Mamdani

$1 Vol.

6%

Roy Cooper

$1 Vol.

15%

John Fetterman

$1 Vol.

15%

Jared Polis

$1 Vol.

15%

Jon Stewart

$1 Vol.

15%

Barack Obama

$1 Vol.

12%

Hillary Clinton

$1 Vol.

15%

Liz Cheney

$1 Vol.

14%

Bernie Sanders

$1 Vol.

14%

Phil Murphy

$1 Vol.

14%

LeBron James

$1 Vol.

5%

Hunter Biden

$1 Vol.

10%

George Clooney

$1 Vol.

15%

Chelsea Clinton

$1 Vol.

15%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12 Vol.

8%

Oprah Winfrey

$1 Vol.

15%

Andrew Yang

$1 Vol.

15%

Beto O’Rourke

$1 Vol.

14%

Kim Kardashian

$1 Vol.

5%

Chris Murphy

$1 Vol.

15%

Ruben Gallego

$1 Vol.

14%

Ro Khanna

$1 Vol.

15%

James Talarico

$1 Vol.

16%

Elissa Slotkin

$1 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus for the Democratic VP nominee in 2028 shows a fragmented field, with Sen. Mark Kelly's 18% implied probability narrowly ahead of Govs. Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear at 16.5%, driven by the party's post-2024 search for electability in battleground and red states during the early invisible primary. Kelly's recent lead widened after his April 15 statement on "seriously considering" a presidential bid amid fundraising booms from Trump administration clashes, highlighting his Arizona Senate incumbency and military background. Beshear gains from moderate red-state wins and New Hampshire visits, while Newsom leverages national profile. The tight race persists absent a clear presidential frontrunner; 2026 midterms, early-state tours, and polling shifts could separate contenders.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$88
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus for the Democratic VP nominee in 2028 shows a fragmented field, with Sen. Mark Kelly's 18% implied probability narrowly ahead of Govs. Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear at 16.5%, driven by the party's post-2024 search for electability in battleground and red states during the early invisible primary. Kelly's recent lead widened after his April 15 statement on "seriously considering" a presidential bid amid fundraising booms from Trump administration clashes, highlighting his Arizona Senate incumbency and military background. Beshear gains from moderate red-state wins and New Hampshire visits, while Newsom leverages national profile. The tight race persists absent a clear presidential frontrunner; 2026 midterms, early-state tours, and polling shifts could separate contenders.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$88
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Democratic VP Nominee 2028" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 43+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mark Kelly" di 18%, diikuti oleh "Gavin Newsom" di 17%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 18¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 18% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Democratic VP Nominee 2028" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 14, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Democratic VP Nominee 2028," jelajahi 43+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" adalah "Mark Kelly" di 18%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 18% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Gavin Newsom" di 17%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Democratic VP Nominee 2028" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.