The open 2028 Republican presidential nomination, currently led in early polls and markets by J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, drives the tight VP nominee odds as traders price likely running-mate pairings. President Trump's recent public comments favoring a Vance-Rubio ticket or similar combinations reinforce this dynamic, while Rubio's role as secretary of state and Vance's vice-presidential incumbency shape their positioning. Other contenders such as Marjorie Taylor Greene, Katie Britt, and Byron Donalds draw support from distinct party factions and Senate records, keeping probabilities compressed ahead of the 2026 midterms. Developments including primary field clarity, endorsement patterns, and any shifts in Trump’s preferences could widen gaps among these options.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Marco Rubio 25%
J.D. Vance 9%
Byron Donalds 4.9%
Josh Hawley 4.9%
$16,326 Vol.
$16,326 Vol.
Donald Trump
4%
J.D. Vance
9%
Marco Rubio
25%
Tulsi Gabbard
2%
Glenn Youngkin
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
1%
Byron Donalds
5%
Elise Stefanik
3%
Josh Hawley
5%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
1%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
5%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
5%
Mike Pence
2%
Tucker Carlson
3%
Ivanka Trump
3%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
4%
Steve Bannon
4%
Erika Kirk
3%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
18%
Thomas Massie
3%
Eric Trump
2%
Joe Kent
16%
Pete Hegseth
3%
Marco Rubio 25%
J.D. Vance 9%
Byron Donalds 4.9%
Josh Hawley 4.9%
$16,326 Vol.
$16,326 Vol.
Donald Trump
4%
J.D. Vance
9%
Marco Rubio
25%
Tulsi Gabbard
2%
Glenn Youngkin
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
4%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
1%
Byron Donalds
5%
Elise Stefanik
3%
Josh Hawley
5%
Ted Cruz
2%
Elon Musk
1%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
5%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
5%
Mike Pence
2%
Tucker Carlson
3%
Ivanka Trump
3%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
4%
Steve Bannon
4%
Erika Kirk
3%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
18%
Thomas Massie
3%
Eric Trump
2%
Joe Kent
16%
Pete Hegseth
3%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The open 2028 Republican presidential nomination, currently led in early polls and markets by J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, drives the tight VP nominee odds as traders price likely running-mate pairings. President Trump's recent public comments favoring a Vance-Rubio ticket or similar combinations reinforce this dynamic, while Rubio's role as secretary of state and Vance's vice-presidential incumbency shape their positioning. Other contenders such as Marjorie Taylor Greene, Katie Britt, and Byron Donalds draw support from distinct party factions and Senate records, keeping probabilities compressed ahead of the 2026 midterms. Developments including primary field clarity, endorsement patterns, and any shifts in Trump’s preferences could widen gaps among these options.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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