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Politik·Primer

Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ashley B. Moody 94%

Michaelangelo Hamilton 4.1%

Jake Lang 2.4%

A.C. Toulme <1%

Polymarket

$12,102 Vol.

Ashley B. Moody 94%

Michaelangelo Hamilton 4.1%

Jake Lang 2.4%

A.C. Toulme <1%

Polymarket

$12,102 Vol.

Ashley B. Moody

$7,741 Vol.

94%

Michaelangelo Hamilton

$2,401 Vol.

4%

Jake Lang

$1,089 Vol.

2%

A.C. Toulme

$871 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley B. Moody's commanding 94% implied probability as the Republican nominee stems from her incumbency as the appointed U.S. Senator filling Marco Rubio's vacancy, bolstered by recent endorsements from the Florida Police Benevolent Association and Palm Beach County PBA in early April, affirming her law enforcement backing from her prior attorney general tenure. With the August 18 primary approaching, challengers Michaelangelo Hamilton, Jake Lang—a January 6 defendant pardoned by Trump—and A.C. Toulme remain fringe figures lacking fundraising or statewide recognition, echoing historical patterns where Florida GOP incumbents dominate primaries. Scenarios to upend this include a late high-profile entrant, scandal, or Trump endorsement shift, though traders see slim odds amid her proven voter turnout strength.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,102
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 24, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley B. Moody's commanding 94% implied probability as the Republican nominee stems from her incumbency as the appointed U.S. Senator filling Marco Rubio's vacancy, bolstered by recent endorsements from the Florida Police Benevolent Association and Palm Beach County PBA in early April, affirming her law enforcement backing from her prior attorney general tenure. With the August 18 primary approaching, challengers Michaelangelo Hamilton, Jake Lang—a January 6 defendant pardoned by Trump—and A.C. Toulme remain fringe figures lacking fundraising or statewide recognition, echoing historical patterns where Florida GOP incumbents dominate primaries. Scenarios to upend this include a late high-profile entrant, scandal, or Trump endorsement shift, though traders see slim odds amid her proven voter turnout strength.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,102
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 24, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ashley B. Moody" di 94%, diikuti oleh "Michaelangelo Hamilton" di 4%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 94¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $12.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 24, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah "Ashley B. Moody" di 94%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Michaelangelo Hamilton" di 4%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.