The Fed's data-dependent policy stance, with the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50-3.75% since early 2026 amid elevated inflation readings near 3.8% headline and resilient labor market conditions featuring 4.3% unemployment, underpins the 91.5% market-implied odds against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications highlight upside inflation risks from energy prices and trade policy alongside balanced growth projections, with officials signaling patience and potential later adjustments rather than intermeeting action. Trader consensus reflects the absence of acute shocks that historically prompt unscheduled easing. A major escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp deterioration in employment data could still alter this path.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$105,526 Vol.
$105,526 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$105,526 Vol.
$105,526 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Fed's data-dependent policy stance, with the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50-3.75% since early 2026 amid elevated inflation readings near 3.8% headline and resilient labor market conditions featuring 4.3% unemployment, underpins the 91.5% market-implied odds against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications highlight upside inflation risks from energy prices and trade policy alongside balanced growth projections, with officials signaling patience and potential later adjustments rather than intermeeting action. Trader consensus reflects the absence of acute shocks that historically prompt unscheduled easing. A major escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp deterioration in employment data could still alter this path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$105,526Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Fed's data-dependent policy stance, with the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50-3.75% since early 2026 amid elevated inflation readings near 3.8% headline and resilient labor market conditions featuring 4.3% unemployment, underpins the 91.5% market-implied odds against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications highlight upside inflation risks from energy prices and trade policy alongside balanced growth projections, with officials signaling patience and potential later adjustments rather than intermeeting action. Trader consensus reflects the absence of acute shocks that historically prompt unscheduled easing. A major escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp deterioration in employment data could still alter this path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$105,526Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Fed's data-dependent policy stance, with the federal funds rate held steady at 3.50-3.75% since early 2026 amid elevated inflation readings near 3.8% headline and resilient labor market conditions featuring 4.3% unemployment, underpins the 91.5% market-implied odds against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent FOMC communications highlight upside inflation risks from energy prices and trade policy alongside balanced growth projections, with officials signaling patience and potential later adjustments rather than intermeeting action. Trader consensus reflects the absence of acute shocks that historically prompt unscheduled easing. A major escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp deterioration in employment data could still alter this path.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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