Strong US economic resilience, with unemployment holding near 4.2% and job gains steady amid solid GDP growth, combined with persistently elevated inflation (recent core CPI and PCE readings above 3%), underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC, led by Chair Warsh, has prioritized price stability amid supply shocks from Middle East tensions and other factors, holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% with projections favoring holds or modest hikes through year-end rather than easing. This consensus reflects traders' view of a stable labor market and no imminent crisis warranting aggressive intervention. A sharp downturn, major financial stress, or rapid unemployment spike could still prompt a shift, though current data show limited signs of such catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui7% peluang
$214,159 Vol.
$214,159 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% peluang
$214,159 Vol.
$214,159 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong US economic resilience, with unemployment holding near 4.2% and job gains steady amid solid GDP growth, combined with persistently elevated inflation (recent core CPI and PCE readings above 3%), underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC, led by Chair Warsh, has prioritized price stability amid supply shocks from Middle East tensions and other factors, holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% with projections favoring holds or modest hikes through year-end rather than easing. This consensus reflects traders' view of a stable labor market and no imminent crisis warranting aggressive intervention. A sharp downturn, major financial stress, or rapid unemployment spike could still prompt a shift, though current data show limited signs of such catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$214,159Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong US economic resilience, with unemployment holding near 4.2% and job gains steady amid solid GDP growth, combined with persistently elevated inflation (recent core CPI and PCE readings above 3%), underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC, led by Chair Warsh, has prioritized price stability amid supply shocks from Middle East tensions and other factors, holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% with projections favoring holds or modest hikes through year-end rather than easing. This consensus reflects traders' view of a stable labor market and no imminent crisis warranting aggressive intervention. A sharp downturn, major financial stress, or rapid unemployment spike could still prompt a shift, though current data show limited signs of such catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$214,159Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong US economic resilience, with unemployment holding near 4.2% and job gains steady amid solid GDP growth, combined with persistently elevated inflation (recent core CPI and PCE readings above 3%), underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC, led by Chair Warsh, has prioritized price stability amid supply shocks from Middle East tensions and other factors, holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% with projections favoring holds or modest hikes through year-end rather than easing. This consensus reflects traders' view of a stable labor market and no imminent crisis warranting aggressive intervention. A sharp downturn, major financial stress, or rapid unemployment spike could still prompt a shift, though current data show limited signs of such catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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