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FIFA World Cup Group I Winner

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Olahraga·Sepak Bola

FIFA World Cup Group I Winner

France 70%

Norway 21%

Senegal 6%

BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%

Polymarket

$112,431 Vol.

France 70%

Norway 21%

Senegal 6%

BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%

Polymarket

$112,431 Vol.

France

$44,746 Vol.

70%

Norway

$11,762 Vol.

21%

Senegal

$14,107 Vol.

6%

BOL/IRQ/SUR

$41,817 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's superior squad depth and FIFA rankings position them as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, bolstered by stars like Kylian Mbappé and recent shrugs off Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that sidelines the fringe Liverpool forward. Norway sits second at 20.5% on Erling Haaland's goal threat and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking, though Ødegaard's March knee injury recovery and Haaland's recent rest amid misfiring form introduce minor uncertainty. Senegal's 6.0% reflects competitive African form but tough openers versus France, while Iraq's March 31 playoff triumph over Bolivia (2-1)—their first World Cup return in 40 years—keeps BOL/IRQ/SUR at negligible 0.3% amid massive talent gap.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$112,431
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 27, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's superior squad depth and FIFA rankings position them as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, bolstered by stars like Kylian Mbappé and recent shrugs off Hugo Ekitike's Achilles rupture that sidelines the fringe Liverpool forward. Norway sits second at 20.5% on Erling Haaland's goal threat and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking, though Ødegaard's March knee injury recovery and Haaland's recent rest amid misfiring form introduce minor uncertainty. Senegal's 6.0% reflects competitive African form but tough openers versus France, while Iraq's March 31 playoff triumph over Bolivia (2-1)—their first World Cup return in 40 years—keeps BOL/IRQ/SUR at negligible 0.3% amid massive talent gap.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$112,431
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 27, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FIFA World Cup Group I Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "France" di 70%, diikuti oleh "Norway" di 21%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 70¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 70% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FIFA World Cup Group I Winner" telah menghasilkan $112.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 6, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FIFA World Cup Group I Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FIFA World Cup Group I Winner" adalah "France" di 70%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 70% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Norway" di 21%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FIFA World Cup Group I Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.