Observed data from Ankara Esenboğa International Airport, the official station for market resolution via Turkish State Meteorological Service measurements, confirm a peak temperature of 22°C on May 8, 2026, amid a regional cold snap with overcast skies, northerly winds, and below-average highs for early May's typical 21-22°C climatology. This aligns with prior MGM forecasts of around 21°C and METAR reports showing daytime highs in that range, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as the day concludes. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from final daily reports, though model consensus and historical measurement reliability make shifts above 23°C highly improbable. Updated observations expected post-midnight local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on May 8?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$144,855 Vol.
$144,855 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$144,855 Vol.
$144,855 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 6, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Observed data from Ankara Esenboğa International Airport, the official station for market resolution via Turkish State Meteorological Service measurements, confirm a peak temperature of 22°C on May 8, 2026, amid a regional cold snap with overcast skies, northerly winds, and below-average highs for early May's typical 21-22°C climatology. This aligns with prior MGM forecasts of around 21°C and METAR reports showing daytime highs in that range, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as the day concludes. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from final daily reports, though model consensus and historical measurement reliability make shifts above 23°C highly improbable. Updated observations expected post-midnight local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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