**Trader consensus at 97% against a hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the biology of Andes virus and the swift containment of the only notable 2026 cluster.** The May outbreak aboard the MV Hondius produced roughly 13 cases and three deaths, all linked to a single zoonotic spillover followed by limited person-to-person spread that requires prolonged close contact. Official monitoring by CDC, WHO, and European authorities ended in June–July 2026 with no sustained community transmission or U.S. cases. Andes virus remains the sole hantavirus known for human-to-human transmission, yet its reproductive number stays low outside intimate settings, unlike airborne respiratory pathogens. Endemic rodent-borne hantaviruses in the Americas continue to cause only sporadic hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. A realistic shift would require either substantial viral evolution enabling efficient aerosol spread or an undetected large-scale spillover—scenarios unsupported by current genomic data or surveillance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3% peluang
$18,036,637 Vol.
$18,036,637 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% peluang
$18,036,637 Vol.
$18,036,637 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 97% against a hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the biology of Andes virus and the swift containment of the only notable 2026 cluster.** The May outbreak aboard the MV Hondius produced roughly 13 cases and three deaths, all linked to a single zoonotic spillover followed by limited person-to-person spread that requires prolonged close contact. Official monitoring by CDC, WHO, and European authorities ended in June–July 2026 with no sustained community transmission or U.S. cases. Andes virus remains the sole hantavirus known for human-to-human transmission, yet its reproductive number stays low outside intimate settings, unlike airborne respiratory pathogens. Endemic rodent-borne hantaviruses in the Americas continue to cause only sporadic hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. A realistic shift would require either substantial viral evolution enabling efficient aerosol spread or an undetected large-scale spillover—scenarios unsupported by current genomic data or surveillance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$18,036,637Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 97% against a hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the biology of Andes virus and the swift containment of the only notable 2026 cluster.** The May outbreak aboard the MV Hondius produced roughly 13 cases and three deaths, all linked to a single zoonotic spillover followed by limited person-to-person spread that requires prolonged close contact. Official monitoring by CDC, WHO, and European authorities ended in June–July 2026 with no sustained community transmission or U.S. cases. Andes virus remains the sole hantavirus known for human-to-human transmission, yet its reproductive number stays low outside intimate settings, unlike airborne respiratory pathogens. Endemic rodent-borne hantaviruses in the Americas continue to cause only sporadic hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. A realistic shift would require either substantial viral evolution enabling efficient aerosol spread or an undetected large-scale spillover—scenarios unsupported by current genomic data or surveillance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,036,637Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus at 97% against a hantavirus pandemic in 2026 rests on the biology of Andes virus and the swift containment of the only notable 2026 cluster.** The May outbreak aboard the MV Hondius produced roughly 13 cases and three deaths, all linked to a single zoonotic spillover followed by limited person-to-person spread that requires prolonged close contact. Official monitoring by CDC, WHO, and European authorities ended in June–July 2026 with no sustained community transmission or U.S. cases. Andes virus remains the sole hantavirus known for human-to-human transmission, yet its reproductive number stays low outside intimate settings, unlike airborne respiratory pathogens. Endemic rodent-borne hantaviruses in the Americas continue to cause only sporadic hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. A realistic shift would require either substantial viral evolution enabling efficient aerosol spread or an undetected large-scale spillover—scenarios unsupported by current genomic data or surveillance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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