Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 23–24°C in Munich on September 5, driven by a passing low-pressure system bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after the hotter conditions expected on September 4. This setup produces market-implied odds favoring 23°C and 24°C because precipitation and reduced insolation typically cap afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 20s, consistent with climatological September averages around 21°C yet tempered by the specific synoptic pattern. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of cloud breaks, rainfall intensity, and model consensus on peak temperature, with new DWD and ECMWF runs expected to refine these details ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 5?
24°C 37%
23°C 30%
25°C 12%
22°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
30%
24°C
37%
25°C
12%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 37%
23°C 30%
25°C 12%
22°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$5 Vol.
3%
20°C
$4 Vol.
3%
21°C
$501 Vol.
6%
22°C
$12 Vol.
9%
23°C
$18 Vol.
30%
24°C
$0 Vol.
37%
25°C
$126 Vol.
12%
26°C
$0 Vol.
7%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 23–24°C in Munich on September 5, driven by a passing low-pressure system bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after the hotter conditions expected on September 4. This setup produces market-implied odds favoring 23°C and 24°C because precipitation and reduced insolation typically cap afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 20s, consistent with climatological September averages around 21°C yet tempered by the specific synoptic pattern. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of cloud breaks, rainfall intensity, and model consensus on peak temperature, with new DWD and ECMWF runs expected to refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$666Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 23–24°C in Munich on September 5, driven by a passing low-pressure system bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after the hotter conditions expected on September 4. This setup produces market-implied odds favoring 23°C and 24°C because precipitation and reduced insolation typically cap afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 20s, consistent with climatological September averages around 21°C yet tempered by the specific synoptic pattern. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of cloud breaks, rainfall intensity, and model consensus on peak temperature, with new DWD and ECMWF runs expected to refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$666Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 23–24°C in Munich on September 5, driven by a passing low-pressure system bringing widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds that limit daytime heating after the hotter conditions expected on September 4. This setup produces market-implied odds favoring 23°C and 24°C because precipitation and reduced insolation typically cap afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 20s, consistent with climatological September averages around 21°C yet tempered by the specific synoptic pattern. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of cloud breaks, rainfall intensity, and model consensus on peak temperature, with new DWD and ECMWF runs expected to refine these details ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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