Current short-range forecasts from models like GFS and European guidance converge on a high of 29–30°C for Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies, weak high pressure, and westerly flow that favors subsidence warming and low humidity. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) outcomes, with traders weighing small differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and model spread around the daily maximum. Conditions remain well above the 21.6°C climatological average and approach the 30.9°C all-time record, though increasing model uncertainty beyond 48 hours and potential minor cloud or wind shifts could tip the exact value. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF over the next day will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 4?
29°C 41%
30°C 36%
28°C 11%
31°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
11%
29°C
41%
30°C
36%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 41%
30°C 36%
28°C 11%
31°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$80 Vol.
1%
24°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$11 Vol.
1%
26°C
$11 Vol.
3%
27°C
$102 Vol.
5%
28°C
$119 Vol.
11%
29°C
$252 Vol.
41%
30°C
$620 Vol.
36%
31°C
$44 Vol.
9%
32°C
$193 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models like GFS and European guidance converge on a high of 29–30°C for Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies, weak high pressure, and westerly flow that favors subsidence warming and low humidity. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) outcomes, with traders weighing small differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and model spread around the daily maximum. Conditions remain well above the 21.6°C climatological average and approach the 30.9°C all-time record, though increasing model uncertainty beyond 48 hours and potential minor cloud or wind shifts could tip the exact value. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF over the next day will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,556Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models like GFS and European guidance converge on a high of 29–30°C for Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies, weak high pressure, and westerly flow that favors subsidence warming and low humidity. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) outcomes, with traders weighing small differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and model spread around the daily maximum. Conditions remain well above the 21.6°C climatological average and approach the 30.9°C all-time record, though increasing model uncertainty beyond 48 hours and potential minor cloud or wind shifts could tip the exact value. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF over the next day will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,556Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from models like GFS and European guidance converge on a high of 29–30°C for Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies, weak high pressure, and westerly flow that favors subsidence warming and low humidity. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) outcomes, with traders weighing small differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and model spread around the daily maximum. Conditions remain well above the 21.6°C climatological average and approach the 30.9°C all-time record, though increasing model uncertainty beyond 48 hours and potential minor cloud or wind shifts could tip the exact value. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF over the next day will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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