Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the German Weather Service points to a high of 23–25°C in Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 25°C (35%) and 26°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of modest warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.8°C. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could add or subtract 1–2°C, plus limited model spread this close to the event. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 3?
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
27°C 17%
24°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
14%
25°C
35%
26°C
31%
27°C
17%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
27°C 17%
24°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$20 Vol.
14%
25°C
$29 Vol.
35%
26°C
$16 Vol.
31%
27°C
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the German Weather Service points to a high of 23–25°C in Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 25°C (35%) and 26°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of modest warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.8°C. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could add or subtract 1–2°C, plus limited model spread this close to the event. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$85Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the German Weather Service points to a high of 23–25°C in Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 25°C (35%) and 26°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of modest warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.8°C. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could add or subtract 1–2°C, plus limited model spread this close to the event. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the German Weather Service points to a high of 23–25°C in Munich on September 3 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 25°C (35%) and 26°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of modest warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.8°C. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could add or subtract 1–2°C, plus limited model spread this close to the event. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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