Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 1, 2026, show high temperatures clustered around 29–32°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, aligning with the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, September marks a gradual decline from summer peaks, with a historical average daily high near 31°C and frequent convective activity that can cap daytime maxima through cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate typical late-summer steering patterns and humidity levels supporting this range, while short-term uncertainty from evolving monsoon influences or localized rain cells could shift results by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weight the strong climatological baseline and current consensus more heavily than outlier scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
7%
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 1, 2026, show high temperatures clustered around 29–32°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, aligning with the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, September marks a gradual decline from summer peaks, with a historical average daily high near 31°C and frequent convective activity that can cap daytime maxima through cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate typical late-summer steering patterns and humidity levels supporting this range, while short-term uncertainty from evolving monsoon influences or localized rain cells could shift results by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weight the strong climatological baseline and current consensus more heavily than outlier scenarios.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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