Northwesterly airflow over Wellington is expected to advect milder maritime air northward ahead of a front, supporting maximum temperatures near 16–17°C on August 30 under mostly clear skies with strong insolation. Recent MetService and international guidance converge on this range amid persistent NW winds gusting above 50 km/h, which enhance mixing and limit nocturnal cooling while recent late-August observations have already reached 17°C. Seasonal outlooks note near- or slightly above-average temperatures consistent with developing El Niño influences, though short-term model spread remains around ±1°C due to exact timing of any cloud or wind shifts. These conditions position 17°C as the market-implied mode, with 18°C retaining secondary support if winds strengthen further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
17°C 52%
18°C 29%
16°C 13%
19°C 4%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
52%
18°C
29%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 52%
18°C 29%
16°C 13%
19°C 4%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
52%
18°C
29%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northwesterly airflow over Wellington is expected to advect milder maritime air northward ahead of a front, supporting maximum temperatures near 16–17°C on August 30 under mostly clear skies with strong insolation. Recent MetService and international guidance converge on this range amid persistent NW winds gusting above 50 km/h, which enhance mixing and limit nocturnal cooling while recent late-August observations have already reached 17°C. Seasonal outlooks note near- or slightly above-average temperatures consistent with developing El Niño influences, though short-term model spread remains around ±1°C due to exact timing of any cloud or wind shifts. These conditions position 17°C as the market-implied mode, with 18°C retaining secondary support if winds strengthen further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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