A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil, reinforced by northerly flow and subsidence under a strong anticyclone, is the main driver pushing São Paulo temperatures well above the August climatological high of roughly 24°C. Official agency guidance and model runs show surface highs on August 30 most likely ranging 31–34°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C locally. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in the timing of any weak southeasterly sea-breeze return and exact dew-point recovery, keeping the 30–32°C outcomes clustered in trader pricing while still leaving room for a 35°C outlier if mixing remains stronger than expected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
30°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C 17%
33°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
22%
32°C
17%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 22%
31°C 22%
32°C 17%
33°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$164 Vol.
4%
29°C
$56 Vol.
6%
30°C
$195 Vol.
22%
31°C
$68 Vol.
22%
32°C
$129 Vol.
17%
33°C
$45 Vol.
14%
34°C
$16 Vol.
7%
35°C
$10 Vol.
3%
36°C
$20 Vol.
5%
37°C
$25 Vol.
5%
38°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil, reinforced by northerly flow and subsidence under a strong anticyclone, is the main driver pushing São Paulo temperatures well above the August climatological high of roughly 24°C. Official agency guidance and model runs show surface highs on August 30 most likely ranging 31–34°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C locally. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in the timing of any weak southeasterly sea-breeze return and exact dew-point recovery, keeping the 30–32°C outcomes clustered in trader pricing while still leaving room for a 35°C outlier if mixing remains stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volume
$738Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil, reinforced by northerly flow and subsidence under a strong anticyclone, is the main driver pushing São Paulo temperatures well above the August climatological high of roughly 24°C. Official agency guidance and model runs show surface highs on August 30 most likely ranging 31–34°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C locally. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in the timing of any weak southeasterly sea-breeze return and exact dew-point recovery, keeping the 30–32°C outcomes clustered in trader pricing while still leaving room for a 35°C outlier if mixing remains stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$738Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil, reinforced by northerly flow and subsidence under a strong anticyclone, is the main driver pushing São Paulo temperatures well above the August climatological high of roughly 24°C. Official agency guidance and model runs show surface highs on August 30 most likely ranging 31–34°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C locally. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in the timing of any weak southeasterly sea-breeze return and exact dew-point recovery, keeping the 30–32°C outcomes clustered in trader pricing while still leaving room for a 35°C outlier if mixing remains stronger than expected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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