Trader consensus on São Paulo’s August 30 minimum clusters tightly between 17–21 °C because official forecasts and model runs differ mainly on the depth of nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. A lingering warm, dry air mass has produced daytime highs near 30–32 °C, yet dew points in the mid-teens allow surface temperatures to fall steadily after sunset; the precise low hinges on how much cloud cover develops overnight and on local urban-heat-island effects at official stations. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as INMET and international models therefore place comparable probability on minima at or just above 17 °C versus 19–21 °C, with negligible odds assigned to values outside this narrow window given the stable synoptic pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
20°C 53%
17°C or below 51%
18°C 45%
19°C 33%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
51%
18°C
45%
19°C
33%
20°C
53%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 53%
17°C or below 51%
18°C 45%
19°C 33%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$1 Vol.
51%
18°C
$1 Vol.
45%
19°C
$0 Vol.
33%
20°C
$0 Vol.
53%
21°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$360 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on São Paulo’s August 30 minimum clusters tightly between 17–21 °C because official forecasts and model runs differ mainly on the depth of nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. A lingering warm, dry air mass has produced daytime highs near 30–32 °C, yet dew points in the mid-teens allow surface temperatures to fall steadily after sunset; the precise low hinges on how much cloud cover develops overnight and on local urban-heat-island effects at official stations. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as INMET and international models therefore place comparable probability on minima at or just above 17 °C versus 19–21 °C, with negligible odds assigned to values outside this narrow window given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,450Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on São Paulo’s August 30 minimum clusters tightly between 17–21 °C because official forecasts and model runs differ mainly on the depth of nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. A lingering warm, dry air mass has produced daytime highs near 30–32 °C, yet dew points in the mid-teens allow surface temperatures to fall steadily after sunset; the precise low hinges on how much cloud cover develops overnight and on local urban-heat-island effects at official stations. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as INMET and international models therefore place comparable probability on minima at or just above 17 °C versus 19–21 °C, with negligible odds assigned to values outside this narrow window given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,450Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on São Paulo’s August 30 minimum clusters tightly between 17–21 °C because official forecasts and model runs differ mainly on the depth of nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. A lingering warm, dry air mass has produced daytime highs near 30–32 °C, yet dew points in the mid-teens allow surface temperatures to fall steadily after sunset; the precise low hinges on how much cloud cover develops overnight and on local urban-heat-island effects at official stations. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as INMET and international models therefore place comparable probability on minima at or just above 17 °C versus 19–21 °C, with negligible odds assigned to values outside this narrow window given the stable synoptic pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan