Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, SMN, and Yr.no points to a highest temperature of 15–17°C in Buenos Aires on August 29 under light easterly flow, stable high pressure near 1015–1017 hPa, and minimal cloud cover after early morning clearing. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where diurnal ranges typically reach 6–8°C amid dry conditions and dew points near 8–10°C. Trader emphasis on 20–22°C outcomes likely reflects overweighting of earlier August warm anomalies, potential short-term model spread in boundary-layer mixing, or advection of subtropical air masses that could add 2–4°C if steering patterns shift. Upcoming NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional updates and local observations near resolution will clarify whether surface heating exceeds guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
21°C 38%
20°C 31%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
$22,236 Vol.
$22,236 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
31%
21°C
38%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 38%
20°C 31%
22°C 14%
19°C 7%
$22,236 Vol.
$22,236 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
31%
21°C
38%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, SMN, and Yr.no points to a highest temperature of 15–17°C in Buenos Aires on August 29 under light easterly flow, stable high pressure near 1015–1017 hPa, and minimal cloud cover after early morning clearing. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where diurnal ranges typically reach 6–8°C amid dry conditions and dew points near 8–10°C. Trader emphasis on 20–22°C outcomes likely reflects overweighting of earlier August warm anomalies, potential short-term model spread in boundary-layer mixing, or advection of subtropical air masses that could add 2–4°C if steering patterns shift. Upcoming NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional updates and local observations near resolution will clarify whether surface heating exceeds guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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