Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, points to a high of 22–23°C in Paris on August 29 amid persistent southwesterly flow and cloud cover from an Atlantic low-pressure system, keeping daytime maxima below the 1991–2020 average of 24.1°C. Showers and moderate humidity are expected to further suppress peak readings, aligning with recent cooler, unsettled conditions across northern France. This positions the 22°C and 23°C outcomes as market favorites while limiting upside potential for 24°C or higher, with only modest probability assigned to warmer anomalies given the stable steering pattern and lack of subtropical ridging.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 29?
23°C 40%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
21°C 9%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
40%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
6%
23°C 40%
22°C 27%
24°C 21%
21°C 9%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
40%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, points to a high of 22–23°C in Paris on August 29 amid persistent southwesterly flow and cloud cover from an Atlantic low-pressure system, keeping daytime maxima below the 1991–2020 average of 24.1°C. Showers and moderate humidity are expected to further suppress peak readings, aligning with recent cooler, unsettled conditions across northern France. This positions the 22°C and 23°C outcomes as market favorites while limiting upside potential for 24°C or higher, with only modest probability assigned to warmer anomalies given the stable steering pattern and lack of subtropical ridging.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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