Persistent southerly airflow and an active low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are sustaining high humidity and frequent thunderstorm activity across Hong Kong, capping afternoon solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near 29–31°C on August 27. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to partly cloudy conditions with scattered heavy showers, limiting clear-sky warming while dew points remain elevated near 26–27°C. Recent observations show similar patterns yielding peaks of 29–30°C amid comparable moisture and wind regimes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small differences in storm timing or brief breaks in cloud cover could shift the recorded high by 1°C either way, with minimal risk of extremes given the established steering pattern and absence of stronger tropical systems.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27?
30°C 29%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
$18,405 Vol.
$18,405 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
29%
31°C
26%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 29%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
$18,405 Vol.
$18,405 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
29%
31°C
26%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly airflow and an active low-pressure trough over the South China Sea are sustaining high humidity and frequent thunderstorm activity across Hong Kong, capping afternoon solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near 29–31°C on August 27. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to partly cloudy conditions with scattered heavy showers, limiting clear-sky warming while dew points remain elevated near 26–27°C. Recent observations show similar patterns yielding peaks of 29–30°C amid comparable moisture and wind regimes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because small differences in storm timing or brief breaks in cloud cover could shift the recorded high by 1°C either way, with minimal risk of extremes given the established steering pattern and absence of stronger tropical systems.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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