Official National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 26 point to a daytime high near 90–91°F, the primary driver behind the market’s tight 47%–37.5% split between the 90-91°F and 88-89°F bins. Typical late-summer sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to limit peak heating, while elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures and residual humidity from recent heat episodes support readings at or slightly above the monthly average of 89°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for convection timing and any last-model-run adjustments that could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 26?
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 37%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
48%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 37%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
48%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 26 point to a daytime high near 90–91°F, the primary driver behind the market’s tight 47%–37.5% split between the 90-91°F and 88-89°F bins. Typical late-summer sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to limit peak heating, while elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures and residual humidity from recent heat episodes support readings at or slightly above the monthly average of 89°F. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for convection timing and any last-model-run adjustments that could shift the observed maximum by 1–2°F.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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